{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a41bc955-6731-41e6-928d-3cd29a7e8ff1", "symbol": "6762", "name": "Delta Asia International Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 76.966, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.363, "architecture_energy": 27.838, "architecture_maturity": 20.085, "architecture_confidence": 71.577, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.53, "rotation_up": 48.86, "upward_expansion": 76.34, "deceleration": 54.32, "rotation_down": 20.35, "downward_expansion": 5.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 167.7, 166.632852, 165.336484, 163.52272 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 170.0, "trend_reference": 161.74033, "distance_from_trend": 0.051067, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 193.892239, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.123224, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.698267, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06567, "excess_performance": -0.375702, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051067, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031459, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.123224, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022983, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326983, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068845, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06567, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.207267, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9030, "relative_activity": 0.357771, "balance": 1.207267, "dry_up": 0.655527, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09099, "annualized_volatility": 0.481056, "from_high_reference": -0.238159, "from_low_reference": 0.297337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 161.74033, "fair_value_reference": 193.892239, "structural_low": 131.03764, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.030488, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.070053, "worst_return": -0.111607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076982, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.020223, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.111374, "worst_return": -0.136956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.069782, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.095541, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.003508, "worst_return": -0.256637, "sufficient": 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31000, "typical_volume": 26492.0, "trend": 162.348712, "fair_value": 194.43479, "relative_strength": -33.025377, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.919009, "energy": 16.097028, "activity_lines": [ 165.189624, 165.837813, 163.589593, 162.364625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 165.0, "volume": 23083, "typical_volume": 25596.65, "trend": 161.961514, "fair_value": 194.230233, "relative_strength": -32.964496, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.020419, "energy": 12.705496, "activity_lines": [ 165.100547, 165.404944, 163.92463, 162.535676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 169.0, "volume": 3068, "typical_volume": 25328.9, "trend": 161.739301, "fair_value": 194.060269, "relative_strength": -31.936015, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.155173, "energy": 18.157019, "activity_lines": [ 166.106349, 165.945076, 164.600978, 162.989772 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 170.0, "volume": 9030, "typical_volume": 25239.6, "trend": 161.74033, "fair_value": 193.892239, "relative_strength": -32.698267, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.362837, "energy": 27.837856, "activity_lines": [ 167.7, 166.632852, 165.336484, 163.52272 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }