{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a4246da9-8e88-48da-97ae-ba06d33f54f6",
    "symbol": "PEAB3",
    "name": "Companhia de Participa\u00e7\u00f5es Alian\u00e7a da Bahia",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.511,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.971,
    "architecture_energy": 76.93,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.469,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.361,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.38,
        "rotation_up": 8.19,
        "upward_expansion": 18.01,
        "deceleration": 37.14,
        "rotation_down": 69.62,
        "downward_expansion": 86.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.976666,
        39.166727,
        39.382307,
        39.415505
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 39.189999,
    "trend_reference": 39.420894,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.005857,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.273872,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023936,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.339736,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.045055,
    "excess_performance": 0.102103,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005857,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030183,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023936,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021702,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003397,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115996,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045055,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 8.666667,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1600,
      "relative_activity": 2.56,
      "balance": 8.666667,
      "dry_up": 1.12,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007286,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178859,
      "from_high_reference": -0.054474,
      "from_low_reference": 0.16329
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.420894,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.273872,
      "structural_low": 37.500431,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.011059,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008637,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.329243,
        "worst_return": -0.062344,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.153608,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.160693,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.449107,
        "worst_return": -0.032177,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.184804,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.207318,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.506739,
        "worst_return": -0.049102,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.108441,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125818,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.456936,
        "worst_return": 0.08266,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013559,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.087118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019259,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.012661,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 34.070415,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 500.0,
        "trend": 30.551004,
        "fair_value": 45.789895,
        "relative_strength": -12.03329,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 54.168172,
        "energy": 50.802695,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.265824,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 31.582661,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 535.0,
        "trend": 30.375665,
        "fair_value": 45.783746,
        "relative_strength": -17.941048,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.923661,
        "energy": 46.017964,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
        "close": 31.582661,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 535.0,
        "trend": 30.257739,
        "fair_value": 45.777597,
        "relative_strength": -18.424733,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.770793,
        "energy": 41.939005,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
        "close": 31.303905,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 570.0,
        "trend": 30.134513,
        "fair_value": 45.757979,
        "relative_strength": -16.299662,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.77409,
        "energy": 64.274793,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.795894,
          30.243633
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
        "close": 31.303905,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 570.0,
        "trend": 30.011287,
        "fair_value": 45.746324,
        "relative_strength": -17.694349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.058694,
        "energy": 33.900427,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.581258,
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          30.91894,
          30.319077
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 31.499039,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 580.0,
        "trend": 29.894565,
        "fair_value": 45.727818,
        "relative_strength": -14.13728,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.615679,
        "energy": 26.113788,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
        "close": 31.499039,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 575.0,
        "trend": 29.86995,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 23.869514,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-06",
        "close": 31.499039,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 565.0,
        "trend": 29.845335,
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        "relative_strength": -10.743435,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.068697,
        "energy": 24.3887,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-13",
        "close": 31.499039,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 480.0,
        "trend": 29.911906,
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        "energy": 23.590872,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-20",
        "close": 31.499039,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 29.990144,
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        "relative_strength": -7.869073,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 22.87195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-27",
        "close": 31.499039,
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        "typical_volume": 405.0,
        "trend": 30.11812,
        "fair_value": 45.690464,
        "relative_strength": -6.901196,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-03",
        "close": 31.499039,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-10",
        "close": 31.499039,
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        "trend": 30.373458,
        "fair_value": 45.67845,
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        "direction": 43.365514,
        "energy": 24.944487,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-17",
        "close": 31.499039,
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        "typical_volume": 290.0,
        "trend": 30.501127,
        "fair_value": 45.537803,
        "relative_strength": -13.495194,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.639007,
        "energy": 39.320383,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-24",
        "close": 32.381752,
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        "typical_volume": 260.0,
        "trend": 30.658219,
        "fair_value": 45.451247,
        "relative_strength": -10.688495,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.790446,
        "energy": 87.387227,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-01",
        "close": 32.381752,
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        "typical_volume": 260.0,
        "trend": 30.815619,
        "fair_value": 45.391654,
        "relative_strength": -11.804455,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.684257,
        "energy": 93.565439,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-08",
        "close": 32.056541,
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        "typical_volume": 265.0,
        "trend": 31.012223,
        "fair_value": 45.340908,
        "relative_strength": -11.228795,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-15",
        "close": 32.056541,
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        "typical_volume": 250.0,
        "trend": 31.098298,
        "fair_value": 45.269426,
        "relative_strength": -12.527073,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-22",
        "close": 27.261999,
        "volume": 6300,
        "typical_volume": 500.0,
        "trend": 31.058943,
        "fair_value": 45.169661,
        "relative_strength": -26.300624,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -51.828761,
        "energy": 56.287715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-29",
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        "typical_volume": 635.0,
        "trend": 31.126408,
        "fair_value": 45.091558,
        "relative_strength": -14.895334,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 32.838191,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-05",
        "close": 34.407356,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 670.0,
        "trend": 31.303125,
        "fair_value": 45.02387,
        "relative_strength": -4.546266,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.980999,
        "energy": 28.797779,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
        "close": 36.24712,
        "volume": 2300,
        "typical_volume": 745.0,
        "trend": 31.541167,
        "fair_value": 44.962093,
        "relative_strength": 1.930345,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "energy": 49.950433,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
        "close": 36.237827,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 775.0,
        "trend": 31.727013,
        "fair_value": 44.902707,
        "relative_strength": 4.908585,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 39.197819,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 830.0,
        "trend": 37.765973,
        "fair_value": 37.403389,
        "relative_strength": -13.971206,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.58735,
        "energy": 31.365766,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.509664,
          39.474855,
          39.381704,
          38.738109
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 39.197819,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 750.0,
        "trend": 37.859115,
        "fair_value": 37.486974,
        "relative_strength": -11.939364,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.949576,
        "energy": 19.415365,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.288609,
          39.427127,
          39.388281,
          38.830486
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 39.197819,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 625.0,
        "trend": 37.952256,
        "fair_value": 37.549305,
        "relative_strength": -8.142609,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.368941,
        "energy": 21.936785,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.217556,
          39.402366,
          39.38955,
          38.916854
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 39.990002,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 615.0,
        "trend": 38.071804,
        "fair_value": 37.623326,
        "relative_strength": -5.370029,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.282514,
        "energy": 26.089014,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.46188,
          39.514103,
          39.456067,
          39.048322
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 40.0,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 575.0,
        "trend": 38.265898,
        "fair_value": 37.691389,
        "relative_strength": -3.687468,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.576081,
        "energy": 36.444871,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.676461,
          39.605718,
          39.516381,
          39.172721
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 40.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 485.0,
        "trend": 38.474639,
        "fair_value": 37.761224,
        "relative_strength": -0.541612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.309047,
        "energy": 60.402917,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.837564,
          39.675211,
          39.569492,
          39.284599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 40.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 470.0,
        "trend": 38.681102,
        "fair_value": 37.831058,
        "relative_strength": -1.344536,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.173193,
        "energy": 61.283429,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.945188,
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          39.620098,
          39.383009
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 39.790001,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 465.0,
        "trend": 38.880565,
        "fair_value": 37.889568,
        "relative_strength": 0.042613,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.898329,
        "energy": 51.021985,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.929334,
          39.747334,
          39.652899,
          39.454551
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 39.799999,
        "volume": 1900,
        "typical_volume": 560.0,
        "trend": 39.067992,
        "fair_value": 37.948142,
        "relative_strength": -2.193325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.170819,
        "energy": 36.630576,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.877333,
          39.782513,
          39.67575,
          39.51387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 39.799999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 550.0,
        "trend": 39.251514,
        "fair_value": 38.008428,
        "relative_strength": -2.337721,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.378805,
        "energy": 39.308668,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.838,
          39.812126,
          39.687651,
          39.561096
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.700001,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 555.0,
        "trend": 39.301696,
        "fair_value": 38.061663,
        "relative_strength": -6.407062,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -7.982262,
        "energy": 20.281977,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.445333,
          39.63079,
          39.597938,
          39.525514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.5,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 545.0,
        "trend": 39.315591,
        "fair_value": 38.113616,
        "relative_strength": -4.11476,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -52.331297,
        "energy": 74.366418,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.072667,
          39.422142,
          39.497562,
          39.473792
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 555.0,
        "trend": 39.38038,
        "fair_value": 38.168833,
        "relative_strength": -2.511988,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.860137,
        "energy": 74.288039,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.966667,
          39.317091,
          39.454144,
          39.453431
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 545.0,
        "trend": 39.39747,
        "fair_value": 38.212183,
        "relative_strength": -4.220152,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.213573,
        "energy": 77.777336,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.913333,
          39.215636,
          39.409694,
          39.428891
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.189999,
        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 625.0,
        "trend": 39.420894,
        "fair_value": 38.273872,
        "relative_strength": -0.339736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.971098,
        "energy": 76.929953,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.976666,
          39.166727,
          39.382307,
          39.415505
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}