{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a424ecf0-c850-4ca5-a098-9ed244e9141e", "symbol": "PMEC", "name": "Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.881, "architecture_energy": 67.62, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.854, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.06, "rotation_up": 10.51, "upward_expansion": 14.12, "deceleration": 37.82, "rotation_down": 75.71, "downward_expansion": 92.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.462093, 0.528744, 0.60202, 0.636239 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.4182, "trend_reference": 0.693873, "distance_from_trend": -0.397296, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.144293, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.634534, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -64.607671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.47725, "excess_performance": -0.664704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.397296, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185611, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.634534, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.237067, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.646077, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144645, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.47725, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.330508, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3540077, "relative_activity": 1.379992, "balance": 0.330508, "dry_up": 0.370564, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.412243, "annualized_volatility": 0.521621, "from_high_reference": -0.828607, "from_low_reference": 0.349032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.693873, "fair_value_reference": 1.144293, "structural_low": 0.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.051012, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.086542, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.086012, "worst_return": -0.252105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.180126, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.259481, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.042203, "worst_return": -0.318049, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.346829, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.480684, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.346829, "worst_return": -0.346829, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.718949, "energy": 42.563695, "activity_lines": [ 0.598333, 0.63502, 0.665998, 0.691903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.5, "volume": 108965, "typical_volume": 2402292.45, "trend": 0.734663, "fair_value": 1.15424, "relative_strength": -57.267365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.013199, "energy": 54.854122, "activity_lines": [ 0.560367, 0.604109, 0.648801, 0.675634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.4181, "volume": 59398, "typical_volume": 2392222.5, "trend": 0.712267, "fair_value": 1.149232, "relative_strength": -63.613512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.640891, "energy": 68.488741, "activity_lines": [ 0.502833, 0.563036, 0.624761, 0.655211 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.4182, "volume": 3540077, "typical_volume": 2565288.3, "trend": 0.693873, "fair_value": 1.144293, "relative_strength": -64.607671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.881498, "energy": 67.62014, "activity_lines": [ 0.462093, 0.528744, 0.60202, 0.636239 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }