{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4356b7f-5757-4fa0-b365-9b24733c2fde", "symbol": "KEI", "name": "KEI Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.707, "architecture_energy": 25.398, "architecture_maturity": 58.518, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.39, "rotation_up": 28.98, "upward_expansion": 54.3, "deceleration": 90.48, "rotation_down": 33.23, "downward_expansion": 22.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 5170.833333, 5192.172727, 5163.719527, 5020.933178 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5600.0, "trend_reference": 4820.270988, "distance_from_trend": 0.16176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3902.860195, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.434845, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.362472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.254874, "excess_performance": 0.298583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.16176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077739, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.434845, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04002, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.243625, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029289, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.254874, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.149278, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5701158, "relative_activity": 3.456474, "balance": 3.149278, "dry_up": 1.500894, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056234, "annualized_volatility": 0.393208, "from_high_reference": -0.008762, "from_low_reference": 0.510326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4820.270988, "fair_value_reference": 3902.860195, "structural_low": 3937.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.057585, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.050361, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.261745, "worst_return": -0.088854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.061798, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.049366, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145484, "worst_return": -0.044993, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.219418, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.243874, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.39435, "worst_return": -0.051531, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 4868.0, "volume": 906388, "typical_volume": 1540130.15, "trend": 4761.901782, "fair_value": 3865.29256, "relative_strength": 13.188672, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.357973, "energy": 22.014761, "activity_lines": [ 5014.9, 5163.109091, 5091.949051, 4952.586648 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4999.0, "volume": 1446698, "typical_volume": 1447168.35, "trend": 4777.72701, "fair_value": 3881.842276, "relative_strength": 12.700476, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.93241, "energy": 22.961883, "activity_lines": [ 4983.733333, 5120.627273, 5101.217622, 4967.883308 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5600.0, "volume": 5701158, "typical_volume": 1649414.4, "trend": 4820.270988, "fair_value": 3902.860195, "relative_strength": 24.362472, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.707108, "energy": 25.397858, "activity_lines": [ 5170.833333, 5192.172727, 5163.719527, 5020.933178 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }