{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a45264de-3aa1-4531-adb4-6050fec8985d", "symbol": "603045", "name": "Fuda Alloy Materials Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.063, "architecture_energy": 25.445, "architecture_maturity": 75.229, "architecture_confidence": 72.509, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.82, "rotation_up": 15.01, "upward_expansion": 42.44, "deceleration": 87.97, "rotation_down": 45.26, "downward_expansion": 34.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.718001, 61.865023, 62.880734, 56.689774 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.310001, "trend_reference": 47.806737, "distance_from_trend": 0.177867, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.067469, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.672841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 58.416768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.097988, "excess_performance": 1.141192, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.177867, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.497383, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.672841, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.036725, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.584168, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.871992, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.097988, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.61787, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41033858, "relative_activity": 1.09791, "balance": 0.61787, "dry_up": 1.078028, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.225144, "annualized_volatility": 0.948647, "from_high_reference": -0.361347, "from_low_reference": 2.236207 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.806737, "fair_value_reference": 21.067469, "structural_low": 25.549999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004184, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.040056, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.815367, "worst_return": -0.061947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.05597, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.041485, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.085352, "worst_return": -0.061404, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.149713, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.255756, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.430153, "worst_return": -0.308657, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": 45.558129, "energy": 34.322759, "activity_lines": [ 69.392667, 72.253842, 64.032811, 55.573594 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.049999, "volume": 43754903, "typical_volume": 37768347.4, "trend": 45.68407, "fair_value": 20.629774, "relative_strength": 53.799626, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.398022, "energy": 24.014432, "activity_lines": [ 61.751333, 68.389436, 63.695087, 55.988407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.830002, "volume": 36712332, "typical_volume": 36713892.05, "trend": 46.584736, "fair_value": 20.812935, "relative_strength": 38.20998, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.769968, "energy": 23.446148, "activity_lines": [ 55.033334, 64.098688, 62.873506, 56.062338 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.310001, "volume": 41033858, "typical_volume": 37374513.0, "trend": 47.806737, "fair_value": 21.067469, "relative_strength": 58.416768, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.062581, "energy": 25.445303, "activity_lines": [ 53.718001, 61.865023, 62.880734, 56.689774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }