{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a45f6cbe-bd22-44e2-95a5-05489dde3e8a", "symbol": "THX", "name": "Thor Explorations Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.11, "architecture_energy": 40.968, "architecture_maturity": 58.153, "architecture_confidence": 63.821, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.28, "rotation_up": 24.65, "upward_expansion": 17.47, "deceleration": 66.25, "rotation_down": 47.49, "downward_expansion": 69.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.580046, 0.579684, 0.624142, 0.661319 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.61, "trend_reference": 0.712519, "distance_from_trend": -0.143883, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.348424, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.750739, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.305175, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.275894, "excess_performance": -0.327129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143883, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028034, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.750739, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.622902, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163052, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317228, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275894, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.893091, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4640690, "relative_activity": 2.465464, "balance": 0.893091, "dry_up": 1.114628, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104702, "annualized_volatility": 0.453833, "from_high_reference": -0.390604, "from_low_reference": 0.527578 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.712519, "fair_value_reference": 0.348424, "structural_low": 0.514161, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.005909, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009753, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.107139, "worst_return": -0.08582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.027478, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060599, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.074071, "worst_return": -0.129028, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.064514, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.131225, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.064514, "worst_return": -0.064514, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -63.978658, "energy": 58.870526, "activity_lines": [ 0.576356, 0.590772, 0.642096, 0.679283 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.545, "volume": 1061385, "typical_volume": 1806683.0, "trend": 0.714769, "fair_value": 0.345727, "relative_strength": -24.746942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.971654, "energy": 56.653834, "activity_lines": [ 0.566417, 0.577728, 0.629481, 0.668079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.61, "volume": 4640690, "typical_volume": 1882278.2, "trend": 0.712519, "fair_value": 0.348424, "relative_strength": -16.305175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.110268, "energy": 40.967964, "activity_lines": [ 0.580046, 0.579684, 0.624142, 0.661319 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }