{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a48d24f5-8797-48d6-9124-c057d858c483",
    "symbol": "GBMO",
    "name": "Corporativo GBM, S.A.B. de C.V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 77.537,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.87,
    "architecture_energy": 34.322,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.523,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.445,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.55,
        "rotation_up": 16.14,
        "upward_expansion": 5.29,
        "deceleration": 44.75,
        "rotation_down": 49.53,
        "downward_expansion": 76.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.347333,
        16.373636,
        16.441333,
        16.453269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 16.35,
    "trend_reference": 16.457667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.006542,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.440769,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216448,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.213719,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.003049,
    "excess_performance": 0.051618,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006542,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009343,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216448,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052376,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012137,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019061,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003049,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 58.070052,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1153,
      "relative_activity": 0.008323,
      "balance": 58.070052,
      "dry_up": 0.038845,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014208,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.055884,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038235,
      "from_low_reference": 0.277344
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.457667,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.440769,
      "structural_low": 15.6,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.006133,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019996,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.033987,
        "worst_return": -0.164375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.175,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080297,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.213686,
        "worst_return": -0.201821,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.237481,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.242114,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.045836,
        "worst_return": -0.27,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.125695,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.201282,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00607,
        "worst_return": -0.24532,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.120264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.037037,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.228972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.219331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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          16.573334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 16.49,
        "volume": 70274,
        "typical_volume": 18349.75,
        "trend": 16.215333,
        "fair_value": 12.996282,
        "relative_strength": -0.692383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.865044,
        "energy": 32.736243,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 71654.85,
        "trend": 16.232,
        "fair_value": 13.029936,
        "relative_strength": 1.848202,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.605571,
        "energy": 28.374789,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 16.700001,
        "volume": 1515169,
        "typical_volume": 147247.4,
        "trend": 16.275333,
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        "relative_strength": 2.293419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.314054,
        "energy": 34.448488,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 145498.8,
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        "relative_strength": 0.086104,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 29.204172,
        "energy": 14.773584,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.532,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 16.690001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 145483.5,
        "trend": 16.345,
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        "relative_strength": 5.382023,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.70733,
        "energy": 25.500705,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 411,
        "typical_volume": 141978.2,
        "trend": 16.379,
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        "relative_strength": 1.927158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 23.783624,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 13.205513,
        "relative_strength": 1.899184,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.745685,
        "energy": 19.137013,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 141401.35,
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        "fair_value": 13.239808,
        "relative_strength": 1.306614,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.864687,
        "energy": 8.701408,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.502,
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          16.520381,
          16.494624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 141224.35,
        "trend": 16.444667,
        "fair_value": 13.274103,
        "relative_strength": 1.452152,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.106931,
        "energy": 7.980529,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.446,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 141152.55,
        "trend": 16.456333,
        "fair_value": 13.308397,
        "relative_strength": 2.253205,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.578235,
        "energy": 17.576748,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.393333,
          16.464364,
          16.492572,
          16.483161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.33,
        "volume": 137,
        "typical_volume": 141148.9,
        "trend": 16.467333,
        "fair_value": 13.342244,
        "relative_strength": 1.854052,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.642948,
        "energy": 31.493329,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.356667,
          16.433818,
          16.477905,
          16.475011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 19975,
        "typical_volume": 138646.8,
        "trend": 16.462333,
        "fair_value": 13.376218,
        "relative_strength": 2.256191,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.86435,
        "energy": 41.460302,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.344667,
          16.409818,
          16.465476,
          16.467441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 259,
        "typical_volume": 138642.85,
        "trend": 16.457333,
        "fair_value": 13.408397,
        "relative_strength": 1.325203,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.422596,
        "energy": 41.123313,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.346,
          16.388545,
          16.453286,
          16.460194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 1153,
        "typical_volume": 138523.6,
        "trend": 16.457667,
        "fair_value": 13.440769,
        "relative_strength": 1.213719,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.87012,
        "energy": 34.321815,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.347333,
          16.373636,
          16.441333,
          16.453269
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}