{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4a473d0-ec84-4f0f-ba4f-cf4b85f1edd4", "symbol": "301000", "name": "Shanghai Hajime Advanced Material Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.6, "architecture_energy": 70.989, "architecture_maturity": 61.267, "architecture_confidence": 84.396, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.71, "rotation_up": 11.66, "upward_expansion": 18.44, "deceleration": 34.3, "rotation_down": 71.99, "downward_expansion": 89.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.617334, 27.034696, 29.210931, 30.371415 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.57, "trend_reference": 32.607908, "distance_from_trend": -0.215834, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.991545, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.052666, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.306127, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.408376, "excess_performance": -0.415776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215834, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097408, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.052666, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.451724, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.343061, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032295, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.408376, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.856318, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23714927, "relative_activity": 0.78406, "balance": 0.856318, "dry_up": 0.798902, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.190396, "annualized_volatility": 0.786524, "from_high_reference": -0.562158, "from_low_reference": 0.175092 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.607908, "fair_value_reference": 26.991545, "structural_low": 21.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.01763, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.005862, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.206595, "worst_return": -0.323389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.051633, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.025016, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.171679, "worst_return": -0.126907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.147476, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.245332, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.280761, "worst_return": -0.080343, "sufficient": false 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"energy": 39.926291, "activity_lines": [ 29.525333, 30.640126, 31.172939, 32.247526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.889999, "volume": 27020150, "typical_volume": 29279009.25, "trend": 33.512241, "fair_value": 26.838205, "relative_strength": -43.315532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.700476, "energy": 62.777354, "activity_lines": [ 26.571333, 28.810988, 30.277761, 31.466263 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.040001, "volume": 22694480, "typical_volume": 29678442.15, "trend": 33.067908, "fair_value": 26.905553, "relative_strength": -35.861949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.451878, "energy": 70.264994, "activity_lines": [ 25.111334, 27.675735, 29.650679, 30.855151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.57, "volume": 23714927, "typical_volume": 30246318.65, "trend": 32.607908, "fair_value": 26.991545, "relative_strength": -34.306127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.600434, "energy": 70.989165, "activity_lines": [ 24.617334, 27.034696, 29.210931, 30.371415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }