{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4bd5a5f-eac7-49da-a84f-6ac054ffe212", "symbol": "600583", "name": "Offshore Oil Engineering Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.52, "architecture_energy": 28.903, "architecture_maturity": 73.217, "architecture_confidence": 74.701, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.23, "rotation_up": 28.99, "upward_expansion": 23.02, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 27.15, "downward_expansion": 61.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.500284, 5.351427, 5.602017, 5.901696 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.56, "trend_reference": 6.19645, "distance_from_trend": -0.102712, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.646604, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.015337, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.053306, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166417, "excess_performance": -0.123213, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102712, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010679, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.015337, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138717, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050533, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042503, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166417, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087885, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126140326, "relative_activity": 0.614309, "balance": 1.087885, "dry_up": 1.086615, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067296, "annualized_volatility": 0.294845, "from_high_reference": -0.362385, "from_low_reference": 0.164047 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.19645, "fair_value_reference": 5.646604, "structural_low": 4.77644, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.070905, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.235294, "median_excess_return": 0.025323, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.26779, "worst_return": -0.100186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.070978, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.050126, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.196629, "worst_return": -0.023723, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056576, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.042241, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.128286, "worst_return": -0.022099, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -3.070456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.850045, "energy": 59.519045, "activity_lines": [ 5.197865, 5.247191, 5.676145, 5.972765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.72, "volume": 208317599, "typical_volume": 227598669.8, "trend": 6.194117, "fair_value": 5.649688, "relative_strength": 0.256073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.516293, "energy": 39.418009, "activity_lines": [ 5.404298, 5.311127, 5.643272, 5.942607 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.56, "volume": 126140326, "typical_volume": 205337046.2, "trend": 6.19645, "fair_value": 5.646604, "relative_strength": -5.053306, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.520403, "energy": 28.902945, "activity_lines": [ 5.500284, 5.351427, 5.602017, 5.901696 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }