{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4bfe968-0789-4368-a67d-404278d7c4be", "symbol": "MUSA", "name": "iShares MSCI USA Swap UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.208, "architecture_energy": 67.64, "architecture_maturity": 84.688, "architecture_confidence": 74.779, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.06, "rotation_up": 53.67, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.39, "rotation_down": 29.07, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.041247, 9.00546, 8.872701, 8.668973 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.2291, "trend_reference": 8.428757, "distance_from_trend": 0.094954, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.168727, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287411, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.160914, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.159347, "excess_performance": 0.106036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094954, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040979, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287411, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037481, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.051609, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036713, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.159347, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.325168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 237777, "relative_activity": 1.428124, "balance": 3.325168, "dry_up": 1.332185, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01815, "annualized_volatility": 0.118941, "from_high_reference": -0.005421, "from_low_reference": 0.238855 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.428757, "fair_value_reference": 7.168727, "structural_low": 7.589, "invalidation": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.658716, "energy": 65.040863, "activity_lines": [ 8.99914, 8.965382, 8.779889, 8.582614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.8669, "volume": 155934, "typical_volume": 160386.4, "trend": 8.393647, "fair_value": 7.143988, "relative_strength": 3.661224, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.117962, "energy": 59.863207, "activity_lines": [ 8.95984, 8.952651, 8.811232, 8.615073 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.2291, "volume": 237777, "typical_volume": 166496.0, "trend": 8.428757, "fair_value": 7.168727, "relative_strength": 5.160914, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.20757, "energy": 67.639616, "activity_lines": [ 9.041247, 9.00546, 8.872701, 8.668973 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }