{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a4c04207-8750-4b98-a0d2-52e2cf701589",
    "symbol": "688312",
    "name": "Shenzhen Yanmade Technology Inc.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 79.017,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -28.177,
    "architecture_energy": 63.027,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.338,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.14,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.45,
        "rotation_up": 14.05,
        "upward_expansion": 28.78,
        "deceleration": 49.58,
        "rotation_down": 71.15,
        "downward_expansion": 56.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.8,
        57.540364,
        67.097365,
        65.42697
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 49.02,
    "trend_reference": 60.647315,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.19172,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.719797,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.595714,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.452917,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.261776,
    "excess_performance": 0.30498,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.19172,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230877,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.595714,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.542849,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034529,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.068657,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261776,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.856882,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31652652,
      "relative_activity": 1.07984,
      "balance": 0.856882,
      "dry_up": 1.032176,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.287487,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.902515,
      "from_high_reference": -0.547225,
      "from_low_reference": 0.855413
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.647315,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.719797,
      "structural_low": 36.959999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.104727,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048434,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.163399,
        "worst_return": 0.046056,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.074884,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020243,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.180828,
        "worst_return": -0.03106,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.302181,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.314936,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.441635,
        "worst_return": 0.162728,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.101624,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.161537,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.101624,
        "worst_return": 0.101624,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.413994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091713,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.221421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.02939,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.158198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.125041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 1.134418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.310979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.223664,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.18,
        "volume": 33861015,
        "typical_volume": 29529010.8,
        "trend": 59.896981,
        "fair_value": 30.371283,
        "relative_strength": -2.41557,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.599083,
        "energy": 43.128673,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.060001,
        "volume": 27980545,
        "typical_volume": 29202298.85,
        "trend": 60.119315,
        "fair_value": 30.515042,
        "relative_strength": -12.386947,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.355825,
        "energy": 61.130183,
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          48.405334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 49.02,
        "volume": 31652652,
        "typical_volume": 29312361.55,
        "trend": 60.647315,
        "fair_value": 30.719797,
        "relative_strength": 3.452917,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.177297,
        "energy": 63.026502,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}