{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4da8141-be68-430c-9cea-d3e37a05cd1f", "symbol": "8240", "name": "Wah Hong Industrial Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.046, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.567, "architecture_energy": 67.948, "architecture_maturity": 20.818, "architecture_confidence": 68.551, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.92, "rotation_up": 17.8, "upward_expansion": 24.6, "deceleration": 43.33, "rotation_down": 68.44, "downward_expansion": 63.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.590001, 44.228776, 50.320635, 51.552336 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42.650002, "trend_reference": 50.787568, "distance_from_trend": -0.160228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.316001, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.142941, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.369852, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101217, "excess_performance": -0.340155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.160228, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098422, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.142941, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.582506, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293699, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.368078, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101217, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.378872, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 865066, "relative_activity": 0.07715, "balance": 0.378872, "dry_up": 0.118072, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137128, "annualized_volatility": 0.544275, "from_high_reference": -0.465546, "from_low_reference": 0.410268 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.787568, "fair_value_reference": 37.316001, "structural_low": 35.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003885, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009937, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.27454, "worst_return": -0.126797, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.189024, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.037573, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.61171, "worst_return": -0.172409, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.386749, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.308328, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.006098, "worst_return": -0.003035, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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[ 48.156828, 51.902651, 55.828532, 53.919759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.25, "volume": 1274308, "typical_volume": 13696776.95, "trend": 50.324266, "fair_value": 37.054343, "relative_strength": -29.832523, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.420002, "energy": 63.453511, "activity_lines": [ 45.259761, 49.395836, 54.427455, 53.353064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.650002, "volume": 2039017, "typical_volume": 13177019.0, "trend": 50.519967, "fair_value": 37.120647, "relative_strength": -33.060843, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.276837, "energy": 71.988429, "activity_lines": [ 42.446667, 46.776664, 52.775121, 52.599886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.349998, "volume": 1117258, "typical_volume": 11414764.5, "trend": 50.717057, "fair_value": 37.215796, "relative_strength": -27.894585, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.311031, "energy": 70.049979, "activity_lines": [ 41.626666, 45.29462, 51.50435, 52.072791 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 42.650002, "volume": 865066, "typical_volume": 11212712.45, "trend": 50.787568, "fair_value": 37.316001, "relative_strength": -29.369852, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.566774, "energy": 67.947662, "activity_lines": [ 41.590001, 44.228776, 50.320635, 51.552336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }