{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4dfa137-2fef-489b-a52c-15630af06436", "symbol": "2489", "name": "AmTRAN Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 61.473, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -34.391, "architecture_energy": 58.038, "architecture_maturity": 14.196, "architecture_confidence": 68.483, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.02, "rotation_up": 16.81, "upward_expansion": 20.88, "deceleration": 43.55, "rotation_down": 66.68, "downward_expansion": 60.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.223334, 33.26428, 37.47912, 37.810415 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.5, "trend_reference": 36.101232, "distance_from_trend": -0.127454, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.569091, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.609681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.620492, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.420814, "excess_performance": -0.020558, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.127454, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249693, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.609681, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.639651, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.086205, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.48095, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.420814, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.559875, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47220277, "relative_activity": 0.2992, "balance": 0.559875, "dry_up": 0.351439, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222506, "annualized_volatility": 1.044318, "from_high_reference": -0.4398, "from_low_reference": 1.506498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.101232, "fair_value_reference": 19.569091, "structural_low": 21.8293, "invalidation": "A 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"green", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104762, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.031034, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.521287, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.06978, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01023, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.288, "active": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 30.270001, 34.386625, 38.225128, 38.072326 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.5, "volume": 47220277, "typical_volume": 157821636.45, "trend": 36.101232, "fair_value": 19.569091, "relative_strength": -8.620492, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.39054, "energy": 58.038281, "activity_lines": [ 30.223334, 33.26428, 37.47912, 37.810415 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }