{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4e0992c-35f4-4f15-bf01-711e0684be40", "symbol": "300884", "name": "Dnake (Xiamen) Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.898, "architecture_energy": 33.757, "architecture_maturity": 70.902, "architecture_confidence": 60.784, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.8, "rotation_up": 24.74, "upward_expansion": 11.11, "deceleration": 66.51, "rotation_down": 39.03, "downward_expansion": 67.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.888667, 10.822545, 11.24186, 11.921065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.47, "trend_reference": 12.996606, "distance_from_trend": -0.117462, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.593261, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010632, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.458063, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.251116, "excess_performance": -0.258515, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.117462, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084305, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010632, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153784, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174581, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035847, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.251116, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.866712, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26981433, "relative_activity": 1.254726, "balance": 0.866712, "dry_up": 1.3278, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102266, "annualized_volatility": 0.453213, "from_high_reference": -0.396754, "from_low_reference": 0.202306 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.996606, "fair_value_reference": 11.593261, "structural_low": 9.54, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006341, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.036693, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.162069, "worst_return": -0.181288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009058, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.038931, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.12553, "worst_return": -0.178652, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.08821, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005671, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.179947, "worst_return": -0.175155, "sufficient": false }, { 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27305121, "typical_volume": 21592997.25, "trend": 13.239981, "fair_value": 11.6003, "relative_strength": -26.579586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.103243, "energy": 47.347687, "activity_lines": [ 10.644, 10.690576, 11.400657, 12.181924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.83, "volume": 31313062, "typical_volume": 21532381.3, "trend": 13.103331, "fair_value": 11.592785, "relative_strength": -18.517451, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.548783, "energy": 38.214621, "activity_lines": [ 10.700667, 10.684182, 11.281659, 12.026441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.47, "volume": 26981433, "typical_volume": 21503842.25, "trend": 12.996606, "fair_value": 11.593261, "relative_strength": -17.458063, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.898043, "energy": 33.756895, "activity_lines": [ 10.888667, 10.822545, 11.24186, 11.921065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }