{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4ec6d22-19c1-4d3a-ad47-6023d38faaef", "symbol": "300752", "name": "Shenzhen Longli Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.175, "architecture_energy": 77.925, "architecture_maturity": 24.771, "architecture_confidence": 82.909, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.32, "rotation_up": 10.89, "upward_expansion": 20.46, "deceleration": 34.18, "rotation_down": 75.44, "downward_expansion": 91.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.717333, 10.964545, 12.142052, 12.485283 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.18, "trend_reference": 12.880183, "distance_from_trend": -0.209639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.263332, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.169883, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.486293, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.210761, "excess_performance": -0.218161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.209639, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031416, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.169883, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.345933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.284863, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103845, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.210761, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.770614, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34738960, "relative_activity": 0.855518, "balance": 0.770614, "dry_up": 1.14324, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18109, "annualized_volatility": 0.700246, "from_high_reference": -0.4847, "from_low_reference": 0.247549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.880183, "fair_value_reference": 12.263332, "structural_low": 8.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.041834, "positive_rate": 0.761905, "directional_follow_through": 0.238095, "median_excess_return": 0.01526, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.272022, "worst_return": -0.197683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.042634, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.008858, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.251269, "worst_return": -0.164036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002361, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.077744, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.174492, "worst_return": -0.085807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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38.483183, "energy": 17.246041, "activity_lines": [ 13.922667, 13.950879, 13.662699, 13.534827 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.91, "volume": 64153472, "typical_volume": 40494999.1, "trend": 13.321976, "fair_value": 12.326565, "relative_strength": -23.921819, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.849724, "energy": 9.607688, "activity_lines": [ 13.217333, 13.577114, 13.512908, 13.440661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.24, "volume": 51754793, "typical_volume": 41961166.85, "trend": 13.207827, "fair_value": 12.308386, "relative_strength": -34.390947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.817374, "energy": 64.74054, "activity_lines": [ 11.853333, 12.751209, 13.118232, 13.177308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.97, "volume": 44089851, "typical_volume": 40705877.9, "trend": 13.086331, "fair_value": 12.289294, "relative_strength": -35.895251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.291299, "energy": 79.166276, "activity_lines": [ 10.631333, 11.96929, 12.720024, 12.903899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.39, "volume": 55104952, "typical_volume": 40982739.2, "trend": 12.972218, "fair_value": 12.271531, "relative_strength": -31.222049, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.611071, "energy": 81.199445, "activity_lines": [ 9.918, 11.353341, 12.38282, 12.665426 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.18, "volume": 34738960, "typical_volume": 40605782.45, "trend": 12.880183, "fair_value": 12.263332, "relative_strength": -28.486293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.17535, "energy": 77.92476, "activity_lines": [ 9.717333, 10.964545, 12.142052, 12.485283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }