{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a4f26288-8001-4200-8629-6d15eaf9e9f6",
    "symbol": "USSG",
    "name": "XTRACKERS MSCI USA SELECTION EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.856,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.949,
    "architecture_energy": 58.585,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.14,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.333,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.85,
        "rotation_up": 57.17,
        "upward_expansion": 81.86,
        "deceleration": 61.19,
        "rotation_down": 25.63,
        "downward_expansion": 8.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        67.27106
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 72.1935,
    "trend_reference": 65.733411,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098277,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.774154,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.342532,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.905378,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.131955,
    "excess_performance": 0.00633,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098277,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033457,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.342532,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007849,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009054,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002744,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131955,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.810318,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 76384,
      "relative_activity": 1.156692,
      "balance": 1.810318,
      "dry_up": 1.189439,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024356,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.150542,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00683,
      "from_low_reference": 0.256152
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 53.774154,
      "structural_low": 57.471938,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
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        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001403,
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        "worst_return": -0.074154,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 0.631018,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 140378.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": 0.17413,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 101490.8,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.30525,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 0.491402,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 65.68805,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 0.858097,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 52.821802,
        "relative_strength": 0.461128,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 53.013809,
        "relative_strength": 0.169276,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 79540,
        "typical_volume": 92784.9,
        "trend": 65.146087,
        "fair_value": 53.197243,
        "relative_strength": -0.078783,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.029596,
        "energy": 50.449032,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.068307,
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          67.648895,
          66.383208
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.84,
        "volume": 84867,
        "typical_volume": 93179.45,
        "trend": 65.268862,
        "fair_value": 53.372444,
        "relative_strength": -0.737056,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.646199,
        "energy": 41.359194,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.68246,
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          66.557009
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.62,
        "volume": 73395,
        "typical_volume": 89314.0,
        "trend": 65.476844,
        "fair_value": 53.564556,
        "relative_strength": 0.753421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.878734,
        "energy": 45.971762,
        "activity_lines": [
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          68.903545,
          68.17813,
          66.837728
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.1935,
        "volume": 76384,
        "typical_volume": 66036.6,
        "trend": 65.733411,
        "fair_value": 53.774154,
        "relative_strength": 0.905378,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.949337,
        "energy": 58.585251,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.02122,
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          67.27106
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}