{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a4f53afc-40ed-4e93-ba34-b3405df473fb",
    "symbol": "ARBS",
    "name": "ARTERRA BIOSCIENCE",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.626,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.249,
    "architecture_energy": 42.636,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.306,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.756,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.16,
        "rotation_up": 53.03,
        "upward_expansion": 76.36,
        "deceleration": 66.15,
        "rotation_down": 19.28,
        "downward_expansion": 5.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        2.949798
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 3.19,
    "trend_reference": 2.92264,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091479,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.138423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.491754,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.127938,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.034972,
    "excess_performance": -0.135919,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091479,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015917,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.491754,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004158,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041279,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039839,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034972,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.968421,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20250,
      "relative_activity": 0.452261,
      "balance": 1.968421,
      "dry_up": 0.774707,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052568,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.331289,
      "from_high_reference": -0.091168,
      "from_low_reference": 0.363134
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.92264,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.138423,
      "structural_low": 2.473377,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.015748,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016132,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.145985,
        "worst_return": -0.154321,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.122727,
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      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "fair_value": 2.032216,
        "relative_strength": -4.030811,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.744011,
        "energy": 20.663091,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.851359,
          2.77883,
          2.840125,
          2.858356
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 2.882435,
        "volume": 57000,
        "typical_volume": 72600.0,
        "trend": 2.875776,
        "fair_value": 2.037573,
        "relative_strength": -2.024355,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.520337,
        "energy": 14.854754,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.879898,
          2.799931,
          2.84094,
          2.859379
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 2.93,
        "volume": 21000,
        "typical_volume": 72975.0,
        "trend": 2.884655,
        "fair_value": 2.043656,
        "relative_strength": -1.790161,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.37477,
        "energy": 17.94837,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.899558,
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          2.846331,
          2.862877
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3.05,
        "volume": 41250,
        "typical_volume": 73837.5,
        "trend": 2.882947,
        "fair_value": 2.050288,
        "relative_strength": -0.144032,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.161419,
        "energy": 29.219159,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.954145,
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          2.873545
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 39000,
        "typical_volume": 73425.0,
        "trend": 2.883785,
        "fair_value": 2.05636,
        "relative_strength": -6.202158,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.235879,
        "energy": 18.114378,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.860578,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.87,
        "volume": 60000,
        "typical_volume": 73612.5,
        "trend": 2.879882,
        "fair_value": 2.062605,
        "relative_strength": -6.684615,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.818868,
        "energy": 14.289369,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.912162,
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          2.85911,
          2.871175
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 75675.0,
        "trend": 2.87685,
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        "relative_strength": -9.337387,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.548159,
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        "activity_lines": [
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          2.853076,
          2.867311
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.79,
        "volume": 4500,
        "typical_volume": 73950.0,
        "trend": 2.87472,
        "fair_value": 2.072838,
        "relative_strength": -10.125525,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.672251,
        "energy": 22.222934,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.840667,
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          2.861708
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.83,
        "volume": 2250,
        "typical_volume": 39637.5,
        "trend": 2.872021,
        "fair_value": 2.07817,
        "relative_strength": -11.635859,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.042698,
        "energy": 21.895395,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2.85,
        "volume": 2250,
        "typical_volume": 37387.5,
        "trend": 2.873159,
        "fair_value": 2.083849,
        "relative_strength": -13.212379,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.250796,
        "energy": 21.494047,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.83,
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          2.84148,
          2.857402
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 750,
        "typical_volume": 34575.0,
        "trend": 2.873997,
        "fair_value": 2.089592,
        "relative_strength": -10.184031,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.956625,
        "energy": 17.979356,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.839333,
          2.854953,
          2.844202,
          2.856553
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.2,
        "volume": 44250,
        "typical_volume": 31912.5,
        "trend": 2.884265,
        "fair_value": 2.097514,
        "relative_strength": -2.422165,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.986454,
        "energy": 45.814358,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.962667,
          2.914182,
          2.880363,
          2.877586
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.29,
        "volume": 273750,
        "typical_volume": 43425.0,
        "trend": 2.897534,
        "fair_value": 2.106014,
        "relative_strength": 0.687625,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.615613,
        "energy": 78.626158,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.090667,
          2.984,
          2.923628,
          2.903762
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.04,
        "volume": 81750,
        "typical_volume": 46237.5,
        "trend": 2.903737,
        "fair_value": 2.113458,
        "relative_strength": -5.597636,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.172331,
        "energy": 70.624277,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.102,
          3.001818,
          2.941008,
          2.912954
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.04,
        "volume": 19500,
        "typical_volume": 44962.5,
        "trend": 2.90994,
        "fair_value": 2.120465,
        "relative_strength": -5.295825,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.362595,
        "energy": 70.876429,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.099333,
          3.019818,
          2.957048,
          2.921745
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.07,
        "volume": 17250,
        "typical_volume": 44550.0,
        "trend": 2.915241,
        "fair_value": 2.12936,
        "relative_strength": -4.964537,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.625609,
        "energy": 58.574926,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.094,
          3.04,
          2.973881,
          2.932071
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.19,
        "volume": 20250,
        "typical_volume": 44775.0,
        "trend": 2.92264,
        "fair_value": 2.138423,
        "relative_strength": -4.127938,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.248599,
        "energy": 42.635857,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.114667,
          3.078364,
          2.999755,
          2.949798
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}