{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4f5f60f-ab46-4da3-9e2a-89897f3b9b10", "symbol": "TKUN", "name": "Tikun Olam-Cannbit Pharmaceuticals Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.227, "architecture_energy": 67.735, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 29.97, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 56.37, "rotation_down": 58.82, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.0172, 5.357418, 470.55199, 863.462748 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.162, "trend_reference": 1346.3742, "distance_from_trend": -0.998394, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3108.405295, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.999304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.918041, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.999095, "excess_performance": -1.027996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.998394, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.44321, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.999304, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.562268, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.99918, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.438921, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.999095, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.176735, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69350, "relative_activity": 4.362637, "balance": 0.176735, "dry_up": 2.204924, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 88.404967, "annualized_volatility": 6.34914, "from_high_reference": -0.999459, "from_low_reference": 0.271765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1346.3742, "fair_value_reference": 3108.405295, "structural_low": 1.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.116977, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.122122, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.914374, "worst_return": -0.99208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.240658, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.212255, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.395018, "worst_return": -0.998465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.3554, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.451876, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.179856, "worst_return": -0.767777, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": -70.164014, "energy": 88.114917, "activity_lines": [ 6.018733, 172.434018, 793.770624, 1158.049013 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.257, "volume": 12985, "typical_volume": 11246.65, "trend": 1518.178433, "fair_value": 3160.418929, "relative_strength": -99.887411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.879681, "energy": 79.180311, "activity_lines": [ 4.429333, 87.479, 675.975595, 1053.43743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.711, "volume": 30599, "typical_volume": 12624.05, "trend": 1432.302133, "fair_value": 3133.519641, "relative_strength": -99.863818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.189267, "energy": 67.87745, "activity_lines": [ 3.665467, 31.820036, 568.6702, 955.729854 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.162, "volume": 69350, "typical_volume": 15896.35, "trend": 1346.3742, "fair_value": 3108.405295, "relative_strength": -99.918041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.226502, "energy": 67.734845, "activity_lines": [ 3.0172, 5.357418, 470.55199, 863.462748 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }