{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a4f61e3f-7836-4765-b4f5-27bc4b352c99", "symbol": "2329", "name": "Orient Semiconductor Electronics, Limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.212, "architecture_energy": 66.916, "architecture_maturity": 26.108, "architecture_confidence": 88.054, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.81, "rotation_up": 12.5, "upward_expansion": 14.39, "deceleration": 38.94, "rotation_down": 67.98, "downward_expansion": 87.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.62, 45.387273, 49.177063, 50.714506 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 43.150002, "trend_reference": 52.388497, "distance_from_trend": -0.176346, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.401918, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070082, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.452363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.123812, "excess_performance": -0.469544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.176346, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021938, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070082, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.272709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.374524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134073, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.123812, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.802539, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9059377, "relative_activity": 0.168688, "balance": 0.802539, "dry_up": 0.281624, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128025, "annualized_volatility": 0.628664, "from_high_reference": -0.381369, "from_low_reference": 0.163073 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.388497, "fair_value_reference": 46.401918, 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53.706073, "fair_value": 46.400464, "relative_strength": -39.873251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.890926, "energy": 77.433874, "activity_lines": [ 44.946667, 48.566434, 51.5869, 52.506454 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.0, "volume": 13917065, "typical_volume": 58054434.55, "trend": 53.344765, "fair_value": 46.392389, "relative_strength": -35.873419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.430104, "energy": 74.668341, "activity_lines": [ 43.936667, 47.236939, 50.712268, 51.880255 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.099998, "volume": 14396303, "typical_volume": 55009567.15, "trend": 52.974343, "fair_value": 46.398588, "relative_strength": -36.024964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.574987, "energy": 71.318177, "activity_lines": [ 43.893332, 46.397273, 50.022976, 51.348335 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 43.150002, "volume": 9059377, "typical_volume": 53704906.2, "trend": 52.388497, "fair_value": 46.401918, "relative_strength": -37.452363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.2121, "energy": 66.916491, "activity_lines": [ 43.62, 45.387273, 49.177063, 50.714506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }