{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a53adb1f-b871-452c-bba0-eb02280fe693", "symbol": "BS6", "name": "Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.246, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.108, "architecture_energy": 58.523, "architecture_maturity": 16.655, "architecture_confidence": 58.939, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.08, "rotation_up": 72.68, "upward_expansion": 78.46, "deceleration": 54.82, "rotation_down": 8.32, "downward_expansion": 7.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.97, 3.812, 3.782056, 3.773482 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.2, "trend_reference": 3.706349, "distance_from_trend": 0.133191, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.461802, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.706067, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.12596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.393634, "excess_performance": 0.238799, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133191, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040806, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.706067, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.02126, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168951, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.393634, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.92054, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111650500, "relative_activity": 1.605338, "balance": 0.92054, "dry_up": 1.33388, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058425, "annualized_volatility": 0.381407, "from_high_reference": -0.046778, "from_low_reference": 0.567219 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.706349, "fair_value_reference": 2.461802, "structural_low": 3.061389, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.129921, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.069801, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.325949, "worst_return": -0.014285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.314896, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.324294, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.477478, "worst_return": 0.218728, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.417545, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.36961, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.554054, "worst_return": 0.30089, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.658544, 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3.736203, 3.699617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.61, "volume": 68806200, "typical_volume": 79751716.7, "trend": 3.622914, "fair_value": 2.395716, "relative_strength": -7.390645, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.447009, "energy": 19.535455, "activity_lines": [ 3.574667, 3.603818, 3.719294, 3.699389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.63, "volume": 73140700, "typical_volume": 73476431.7, "trend": 3.636781, "fair_value": 2.410684, "relative_strength": -7.835877, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.94452, "energy": 13.33423, "activity_lines": [ 3.597333, 3.595818, 3.704038, 3.699847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.0, "volume": 100360200, "typical_volume": 70523266.7, "trend": 3.660438, "fair_value": 2.427913, "relative_strength": -0.270891, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.536759, "energy": 25.366012, "activity_lines": [ 3.731333, 3.661818, 3.726444, 3.72328 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.92, "volume": 85931400, "typical_volume": 68451471.7, "trend": 3.681429, "fair_value": 2.444239, "relative_strength": -3.2624, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.803284, "energy": 31.607222, "activity_lines": [ 3.818, 3.712727, 3.741213, 3.740026 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.2, "volume": 111650500, "typical_volume": 69549511.7, "trend": 3.706349, "fair_value": 2.461802, "relative_strength": 2.12596, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.107781, "energy": 58.523218, "activity_lines": [ 3.97, 3.812, 3.782056, 3.773482 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }