{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a545e32d-1491-495a-9cfb-1ef51e7b81e0", "symbol": "300694", "name": "Wuxi Lihu Corporation Limited.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.587, "architecture_energy": 36.248, "architecture_maturity": 27.611, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.16, "rotation_up": 21.6, "upward_expansion": 6.42, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 50.51, "downward_expansion": 75.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.205333, 10.328909, 10.7324, 11.125767 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.63, "trend_reference": 11.623434, "distance_from_trend": -0.085468, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.71898, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.249907, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.158888, "excess_performance": -0.166288, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.085468, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048987, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092924, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.142499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.158888, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.294081, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24901854, "relative_activity": 0.930475, "balance": 0.294081, "dry_up": 1.220025, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115495, "annualized_volatility": 0.551248, "from_high_reference": -0.243237, "from_low_reference": 0.186384 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.623434, "fair_value_reference": 11.71898, "structural_low": 8.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.022719, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": 0.014875, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.203518, "worst_return": -0.173109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.006635, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.001764, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 1.524675, "worst_return": -0.131905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00092, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.019447, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.007538, "worst_return": -0.151614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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10.63789, 11.129596, 11.474454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.36, "volume": 33923300, "typical_volume": 26588914.0, "trend": 11.74065, "fair_value": 11.722686, "relative_strength": -23.014618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.793468, "energy": 29.244715, "activity_lines": [ 10.396, 10.383748, 10.92607, 11.315393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.84, "volume": 27980940, "typical_volume": 26830049.35, "trend": 11.668545, "fair_value": 11.717547, "relative_strength": -17.105576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.648242, "energy": 38.78526, "activity_lines": [ 10.195333, 10.268182, 10.784481, 11.19277 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.63, "volume": 24901854, "typical_volume": 26762522.05, "trend": 11.623434, "fair_value": 11.71898, "relative_strength": -14.249907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.586728, "energy": 36.247537, "activity_lines": [ 10.205333, 10.328909, 10.7324, 11.125767 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }