{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a54a002f-0ca6-45ca-a1d4-bec1a40b92de",
    "symbol": "TPSC",
    "name": "TIMOTHY PLAN TIMOTHY PLAN US SMALL CAP CORE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.015,
    "architecture_energy": 60.979,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.579,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.942,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.93,
        "rotation_up": 65.57,
        "upward_expansion": 84.84,
        "deceleration": 57.12,
        "rotation_down": 21.2,
        "downward_expansion": 9.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        45.998728
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 48.7657,
    "trend_reference": 45.152305,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080027,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.262388,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274507,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.186264,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.078612,
    "excess_performance": -0.047013,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080027,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046158,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274507,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042224,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001863,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021907,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078612,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.582593,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 402272,
      "relative_activity": 3.832262,
      "balance": 1.582593,
      "dry_up": 1.567229,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025046,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.136191,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011356,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258367
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.152305,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.262388,
      "structural_low": 40.927373,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.010927,
        "positive_rate": 0.580645,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.580645,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007992,
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        "best_return": 0.074875,
        "worst_return": -0.111466,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.111068,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 117150.65,
        "trend": 44.572948,
        "fair_value": 37.962031,
        "relative_strength": 2.553471,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.606333,
        "volume": 96871,
        "typical_volume": 91686.7,
        "trend": 44.756416,
        "fair_value": 38.0588,
        "relative_strength": 2.441161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.308709,
        "energy": 70.680491,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.719,
        "volume": 85593,
        "typical_volume": 90884.0,
        "trend": 44.966361,
        "fair_value": 38.156468,
        "relative_strength": 1.514229,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.841616,
        "energy": 55.408643,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.7657,
        "volume": 402272,
        "typical_volume": 104969.85,
        "trend": 45.152305,
        "fair_value": 38.262388,
        "relative_strength": 0.186264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.015452,
        "energy": 60.979471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}