{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a55fd64c-b848-42cb-bfc9-3d09b171bc99", "symbol": "5MZ", "name": "Kingsmen Creatives Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -6.863, "architecture_energy": 28.718, "architecture_maturity": 31.596, "architecture_confidence": 68.145, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.11, "rotation_up": 18.42, "upward_expansion": 47.35, "deceleration": 68.96, "rotation_down": 41.87, "downward_expansion": 43.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.543333, 0.545545, 0.554998, 0.553351 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.54, "trend_reference": 0.541885, "distance_from_trend": -0.003479, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.35059, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.540259, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.973908, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.135862, "excess_performance": -0.018973, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003479, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048056, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.540259, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214462, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109739, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135862, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.165437, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153200, "relative_activity": 0.293018, "balance": 0.165437, "dry_up": 0.442922, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029097, "annualized_volatility": 0.303824, "from_high_reference": -0.152341, "from_low_reference": 0.368509 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.541885, "fair_value_reference": 0.35059, "structural_low": 0.470656, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.033279, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.126125, "worst_return": -0.127272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.009769, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048742, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.096775, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.090911, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.196027, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.170214, "worst_return": -0.209677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-8.764168, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.828868, "energy": 16.694892, "activity_lines": [ 0.545333, 0.551636, 0.560442, 0.552133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.54, "volume": 381100, "typical_volume": 563790.0, "trend": 0.536929, "fair_value": 0.347228, "relative_strength": -9.757024, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.330186, "energy": 23.078922, "activity_lines": [ 0.543, 0.548545, 0.558384, 0.55248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.55, "volume": 206000, "typical_volume": 543415.0, "trend": 0.539574, "fair_value": 0.348885, "relative_strength": -8.504312, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.92264, "energy": 21.884298, "activity_lines": [ 0.545333, 0.547818, 0.557197, 0.553323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.54, "volume": 153200, "typical_volume": 522835.0, "trend": 0.541885, "fair_value": 0.35059, "relative_strength": -10.973908, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.862882, "energy": 28.718283, "activity_lines": [ 0.543333, 0.545545, 0.554998, 0.553351 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }