{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5618d36-11fd-4c53-9a86-2925077e162e", "symbol": "BIDUN", "name": "Baidu, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.092, "architecture_energy": 62.814, "architecture_maturity": 24.684, "architecture_confidence": 80.495, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.78, "rotation_up": 14.63, "upward_expansion": 11.82, "deceleration": 42.82, "rotation_down": 66.79, "downward_expansion": 85.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 1902.966667, 1927.950906, 2036.990091, 2081.050597 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1887.0, "trend_reference": 2177.85933, "distance_from_trend": -0.133553, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1940.556091, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.720465, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232927, "excess_performance": -0.17826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133553, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050248, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245372, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.157205, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199715, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232927, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.289217, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 375, "relative_activity": 0.30129, "balance": 3.289217, "dry_up": 0.598562, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067237, "annualized_volatility": 0.400781, "from_high_reference": -0.342509, "from_low_reference": 0.192719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2177.85933, "fair_value_reference": 1940.556091, "structural_low": 1805.400024, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.02972, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.023731, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.363374, "worst_return": -0.189223, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.053616, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.026198, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.22202, "worst_return": -0.125519, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.02336, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.002583, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.389769, "worst_return": -0.129624, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -71.509607, "energy": 56.129809, "activity_lines": [ 1926.694661, 1973.05854, 2073.561519, 2121.243199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1918.0, "volume": 1445, "typical_volume": 1933.1, "trend": 2201.192664, "fair_value": 1943.331796, "relative_strength": -14.325323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.870528, "energy": 47.292616, "activity_lines": [ 1920.097331, 1949.495632, 2056.004377, 2101.321092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1887.0, "volume": 375, "typical_volume": 1244.65, "trend": 2177.85933, "fair_value": 1940.556091, "relative_strength": -15.720465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.091815, "energy": 62.814302, "activity_lines": [ 1902.966667, 1927.950906, 2036.990091, 2081.050597 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }