{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5843dab-9d18-4c40-b5c1-41cdc735ea0c", "symbol": "001236", "name": "Soho Holly Futures Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.499, "architecture_energy": 43.409, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.024, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.97, "rotation_up": 26.89, "upward_expansion": 18.78, "deceleration": 66.89, "rotation_down": 42.83, "downward_expansion": 68.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.336798, 7.282684, 7.783947, 8.265441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.51, "trend_reference": 8.907371, "distance_from_trend": -0.156878, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.191439, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.263107, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.385515, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.242944, "excess_performance": -0.250343, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156878, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108698, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.263107, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155984, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.273855, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008098, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242944, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.287314, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48762842, "relative_activity": 1.017061, "balance": 0.287314, "dry_up": 1.282431, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086251, "annualized_volatility": 0.320194, "from_high_reference": -0.475559, "from_low_reference": 0.126528 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.907371, "fair_value_reference": 10.191439, "structural_low": 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10.387453, "relative_strength": -40.009724, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.618985, "energy": 87.765054, "activity_lines": [ 7.171752, 7.57834, 8.283351, 8.751158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.066294, "volume": 53087597, "typical_volume": 54911165.3, "trend": 9.228293, "fair_value": 10.334617, "relative_strength": -31.945105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.556774, "energy": 75.864148, "activity_lines": [ 7.108351, 7.400167, 8.115176, 8.604548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.946356, "volume": 75804582, "typical_volume": 54026590.55, "trend": 9.109838, "fair_value": 10.282549, "relative_strength": -32.236997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.787556, "energy": 64.863984, "activity_lines": [ 7.039884, 7.247163, 7.950502, 8.457326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.635995, "volume": 68288916, "typical_volume": 52498087.3, "trend": 9.010371, "fair_value": 10.234837, "relative_strength": -23.326905, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.069433, "energy": 55.820068, "activity_lines": [ 7.23154, 7.265069, 7.867524, 8.36224 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.51, "volume": 48762842, "typical_volume": 47944855.9, "trend": 8.907371, "fair_value": 10.191439, "relative_strength": -27.385515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.498723, "energy": 43.409266, "activity_lines": [ 7.336798, 7.282684, 7.783947, 8.265441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }