{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a588688b-975b-489b-82c9-dd4d1df84af9",
    "symbol": "HOMB",
    "name": "Home BancShares Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.257,
    "architecture_energy": 85.437,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.168,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.117,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.65,
        "rotation_up": 82.4,
        "upward_expansion": 98.94,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 8.67,
        "downward_expansion": 20.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.778,
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        28.780696,
        28.273496
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 30.81,
    "trend_reference": 27.95566,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102102,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.719453,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.197926,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.565128,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.02258,
    "excess_performance": -0.103045,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102102,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020497,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197926,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140155,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015651,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132631,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02258,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.518273,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6644351,
      "relative_activity": 0.810187,
      "balance": 2.518273,
      "dry_up": 1.146883,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039642,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.220276,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.209783
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.95566,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.719453,
      "structural_low": 25.467385,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.046034,
        "positive_rate": 0.263158,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.263158,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047404,
        "regime_survival": 0.473684,
        "best_return": 0.063854,
        "worst_return": -0.130194,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "worst_return": -0.11791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.083759,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 51.615816,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -5.800786,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 25.488508,
        "relative_strength": -6.582055,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.292545,
        "energy": 56.698831,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.84,
        "volume": 12796516,
        "typical_volume": 8188090.85,
        "trend": 27.641831,
        "fair_value": 25.548136,
        "relative_strength": 2.163357,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.657118,
        "energy": 85.844132,
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          29.424667,
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          27.653363
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.98,
        "volume": 9917201,
        "typical_volume": 8262301.5,
        "trend": 27.74339,
        "fair_value": 25.605021,
        "relative_strength": 3.342299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.518868,
        "energy": 87.587481,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.072,
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          28.144493,
          27.868729
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.07,
        "volume": 8264334,
        "typical_volume": 8284136.2,
        "trend": 27.862723,
        "fair_value": 25.660957,
        "relative_strength": 2.614932,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.310848,
        "energy": 88.775228,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.527333,
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          28.486815,
          28.083349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.81,
        "volume": 6644351,
        "typical_volume": 8201012.9,
        "trend": 27.95566,
        "fair_value": 25.719453,
        "relative_strength": -1.565128,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.257372,
        "energy": 85.436975,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.778,
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          28.273496
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}