{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5962f5c-a418-4855-b5b5-3b0c27f52100", "symbol": "DIV", "name": "GLOBAL X FDS GLOBAL X SUPERDIVIDEND U S ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.71, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.177, "architecture_energy": 67.095, "architecture_maturity": 9.134, "architecture_confidence": 69.279, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.95, "rotation_up": 75.37, "upward_expansion": 92.03, "deceleration": 39.92, "rotation_down": 10.74, "downward_expansion": 14.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.633996, 19.439609, 19.269986, 19.147513 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 19.68, "trend_reference": 18.938011, "distance_from_trend": 0.03918, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.368374, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202319, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.58624, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.054909, "excess_performance": -0.070716, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03918, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.202319, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00424, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025862, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010098, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054909, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.966101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1297663, "relative_activity": 1.0966, "balance": 0.966101, "dry_up": 0.913073, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024374, "annualized_volatility": 0.116372, "from_high_reference": -0.020719, "from_low_reference": 0.224114 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.938011, "fair_value_reference": 16.368374, "structural_low": 18.245291, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.003667, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.004756, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.08373, "worst_return": -0.054489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.019748, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.02108, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.09369, "worst_return": -0.067927, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025026, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009116, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.127086, "worst_return": -0.022051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-17", "close": 19.564247, "volume": 879759, "typical_volume": 1284316.15, "trend": 18.668709, "fair_value": 16.261801, "relative_strength": 0.69725, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.19556, "energy": 48.218696, "activity_lines": [ 19.26878, 19.152044, 19.079759, 18.967871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.802957, "volume": 782678, "typical_volume": 1206234.6, "trend": 18.76807, "fair_value": 16.297525, "relative_strength": 2.507492, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.099675, "energy": 67.418838, "activity_lines": [ 19.490312, 19.279611, 19.157825, 19.041049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.594086, "volume": 1361843, "typical_volume": 1185616.35, "trend": 18.85582, "fair_value": 16.333098, "relative_strength": 0.354946, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.832492, "energy": 65.846557, "activity_lines": [ 19.560511, 19.353444, 19.212184, 19.09434 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.68, "volume": 1297663, "typical_volume": 1183350.9, "trend": 18.938011, "fair_value": 16.368374, "relative_strength": -2.58624, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.177053, "energy": 67.094765, "activity_lines": [ 19.633996, 19.439609, 19.269986, 19.147513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }