{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5c4ed26-5442-4826-a0e2-4aa2a7177d9d", "symbol": "FIGS11", "name": "Fundo de Investimento Imobili\u00e1rio General Shopping Ativo e Renda - FII", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 63.532, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.164, "architecture_energy": 21.509, "architecture_maturity": 3.326, "architecture_confidence": 65.405, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.33, "rotation_up": 30.52, "upward_expansion": 21.8, "deceleration": 42.62, "rotation_down": 42.52, "downward_expansion": 40.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.827418, 49.00623, 49.225621, 49.242061 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 48.099998, "trend_reference": 48.91091, "distance_from_trend": -0.016579, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.72173, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.07554, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.530611, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.029288, "excess_performance": 0.086337, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016579, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028049, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.07554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057062, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.015306, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039426, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.029288, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.318834, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13271, "relative_activity": 1.301863, "balance": 0.318834, "dry_up": 1.307332, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026798, "annualized_volatility": 0.133731, "from_high_reference": -0.066189, "from_low_reference": 0.140113 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.91091, "fair_value_reference": 44.72173, "structural_low": 46.672969, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.009245, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.007566, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.160329, "worst_return": -0.076974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.012686, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.005101, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.322502, "worst_return": -0.095315, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.027732, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.043331, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.341383, "worst_return": -0.100201, "sufficient": true 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"activity_lines": [ 49.20906, 49.206714, 49.407783, 49.14042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.812045, "volume": 7099, "typical_volume": 10109.6, "trend": 48.533845, "fair_value": 44.705254, "relative_strength": 0.383336, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.59665, "energy": 18.815777, "activity_lines": [ 49.468298, 49.305042, 49.43628, 49.232543 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.316895, "volume": 7210, "typical_volume": 9943.9, "trend": 48.665127, "fair_value": 44.721634, "relative_strength": -0.55221, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.226109, "energy": 19.387852, "activity_lines": [ 49.474977, 49.318877, 49.420916, 49.283062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.722716, "volume": 25727, "typical_volume": 10127.45, "trend": 48.793101, "fair_value": 44.721422, "relative_strength": -3.556289, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.803422, "energy": 9.913256, "activity_lines": [ 49.255497, 49.220849, 49.353821, 49.286777 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.099998, "volume": 13271, "typical_volume": 10193.85, "trend": 48.91091, "fair_value": 44.72173, "relative_strength": -1.530611, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.164015, "energy": 21.509071, "activity_lines": [ 48.827418, 49.00623, 49.225621, 49.242061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }