{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5c5509c-5fa1-4ea2-a7d8-1ac0ae1bcb21", "symbol": "1591", "name": "Inmax Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.635, "architecture_energy": 25.893, "architecture_maturity": 82.363, "architecture_confidence": 73.299, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.75, "rotation_up": 32.03, "upward_expansion": 20.25, "deceleration": 46.45, "rotation_down": 20.33, "downward_expansion": 54.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.880001, 35.19, 38.191429, 40.895592 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 36.150002, "trend_reference": 44.048333, "distance_from_trend": -0.179311, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.282051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281056, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.976048, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.288386, "excess_performance": -0.729758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179311, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104496, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281056, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.288669, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.45976, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138632, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.288386, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.377603, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 913063, "relative_activity": 0.318538, "balance": 0.377603, "dry_up": 0.476007, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163954, "annualized_volatility": 0.905364, "from_high_reference": -0.481349, "from_low_reference": 0.160514 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.048333, "fair_value_reference": 50.282051, "structural_low": 31.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.003247, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.007974, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.370546, "worst_return": -0.111111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033033, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.035314, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.465278, "worst_return": -0.260095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.260417, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.006714, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.852853, "worst_return": -0.118778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -38.302111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.766157, "energy": 39.842453, "activity_lines": [ 34.566667, 34.000909, 39.946905, 42.486667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.700001, "volume": 3036029, "typical_volume": 2879524.85, "trend": 45.11, "fair_value": 50.335256, "relative_strength": -40.665576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.716036, "energy": 27.159399, "activity_lines": [ 36.400001, 34.722728, 39.512381, 42.05 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.599998, "volume": 990022, "typical_volume": 2863518.85, "trend": 44.533333, "fair_value": 50.304167, "relative_strength": -45.842361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.349073, "energy": 23.059109, "activity_lines": [ 36.696667, 34.864546, 38.810238, 41.436452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 36.150002, "volume": 913063, "typical_volume": 2866415.05, "trend": 44.048333, "fair_value": 50.282051, "relative_strength": -45.976048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.634961, "energy": 25.892547, "activity_lines": [ 36.880001, 35.19, 38.191429, 40.895592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }