{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5c92a18-0801-4dfd-9015-d2923155e9e1", "symbol": "XZRE", "name": "Xtrackers Developed Green Real Estate ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.504, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.438, "architecture_energy": 78.779, "architecture_maturity": 26.501, "architecture_confidence": 80.787, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.48, "rotation_up": 68.95, "upward_expansion": 89.66, "deceleration": 49.72, "rotation_down": 12.71, "downward_expansion": 18.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.314334, 34.996091, 34.361715, 33.83985 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.080002, "trend_reference": 33.211334, "distance_from_trend": 0.056266, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.936275, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133944, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.507378, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.091475, "excess_performance": 0.04024, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056266, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038652, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.133944, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026784, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005074, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014638, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091475, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.373857, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 186, "relative_activity": 0.473584, "balance": 1.373857, "dry_up": 2.493316, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019828, "annualized_volatility": 0.158244, "from_high_reference": -0.026502, "from_low_reference": 0.188347 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.211334, "fair_value_reference": 30.936275, "structural_low": 30.58, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.035921, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.020322, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.038208, "worst_return": 0.033633, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0492, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 30.148001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 30.889999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 30.030001, 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34.008501, 33.736046, 33.248525, 32.903683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 34.637501, "volume": 232, "typical_volume": 201.75, "trend": 32.502334, "fair_value": 30.683173, "relative_strength": 1.329392, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.245366, "energy": 79.533629, "activity_lines": [ 34.273001, 33.929001, 33.40956, 33.049189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.349998, "volume": 66, "typical_volume": 197.15, "trend": 32.623, "fair_value": 30.725811, "relative_strength": 2.250188, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.471357, "energy": 70.022158, "activity_lines": [ 34.3615, 34.044728, 33.535727, 33.168393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.607498, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 197.4, "trend": 32.78025, "fair_value": 30.781922, "relative_strength": 4.927263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.128758, "energy": 91.742925, "activity_lines": [ 34.806833, 34.372818, 33.775726, 33.360941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.880001, "volume": 2540, "typical_volume": 324.4, "trend": 32.945334, "fair_value": 30.839855, "relative_strength": 4.362512, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.06677, "energy": 92.529716, "activity_lines": [ 35.257833, 34.714273, 34.03231, 33.560925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.2775, "volume": 1185, "typical_volume": 383.45, "trend": 33.088834, "fair_value": 30.889716, "relative_strength": 1.344504, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.971308, "energy": 83.720191, "activity_lines": [ 35.337833, 34.890136, 34.214488, 33.711387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.080002, "volume": 186, "typical_volume": 392.75, "trend": 33.211334, "fair_value": 30.936275, "relative_strength": 0.507378, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.438422, "energy": 78.778642, "activity_lines": [ 35.314334, 34.996091, 34.361715, 33.83985 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }