{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a5d17307-29c0-4c4c-a5f6-13af067d60bf",
    "symbol": "XCMIG",
    "name": "Companhia Energ\u00e9tica de Minas Gerais - CEMIG",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.458,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.616,
    "architecture_energy": 87.334,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.693,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.893,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.33,
        "rotation_up": 80.14,
        "upward_expansion": 97.64,
        "deceleration": 41.84,
        "rotation_down": 8.4,
        "downward_expansion": 21.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        1.881829,
        1.830981,
        1.795706
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.93,
    "trend_reference": 1.72143,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.121161,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.756611,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.550847,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 14.791027,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.30616,
    "excess_performance": 0.181729,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121161,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137758,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.550847,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.335106,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14791,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.184242,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30616,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.668694,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.668694,
      "dry_up": 0.617616,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031504,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.408959,
      "from_high_reference": -0.069971,
      "from_low_reference": 1.095162
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.72143,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.756611,
      "structural_low": 1.461811,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 54,
        "median_return": 0.032423,
        "positive_rate": 0.685185,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.685185,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022827,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.702094,
        "worst_return": -0.158727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 18,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
        "best_return": 1.011465,
        "worst_return": 0.051723,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": 0.142218,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.577562,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "typical_volume": 12923.15,
        "trend": 1.397132,
        "fair_value": 0.599616,
        "relative_strength": 37.871249,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 68.137532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 12138.15,
        "trend": 1.424766,
        "fair_value": 0.610776,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 11938.5,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 12552.8,
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        "relative_strength": 25.3309,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 14150.3,
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        "relative_strength": 18.005524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 18000,
        "typical_volume": 13525.3,
        "trend": 1.528323,
        "fair_value": 0.660762,
        "relative_strength": 14.077851,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 20000,
        "typical_volume": 14024.6,
        "trend": 1.544767,
        "fair_value": 0.670215,
        "relative_strength": 11.294775,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 1.82,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 1.584145,
        "fair_value": 0.689815,
        "relative_strength": 17.742034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.187103,
        "energy": 18.382322,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.691813,
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          1.691588
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.82,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 12684.4,
        "trend": 1.608129,
        "fair_value": 0.700311,
        "relative_strength": 14.539585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          1.706805
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 33605,
        "typical_volume": 13979.65,
        "trend": 1.637275,
        "fair_value": 0.711661,
        "relative_strength": 24.638573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.392113,
        "energy": 53.951648,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.822182,
          1.760993,
          1.774926,
          1.728861
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 10000,
        "typical_volume": 13708.8,
        "trend": 1.666376,
        "fair_value": 0.722922,
        "relative_strength": 23.408958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.247804,
        "energy": 69.694775,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.87664,
          1.795335,
          1.791392,
          1.747747
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.94,
        "volume": 19294,
        "typical_volume": 13803.5,
        "trend": 1.686003,
        "fair_value": 0.734168,
        "relative_strength": 20.701654,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.145117,
        "energy": 85.009545,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.915333,
          1.829004,
          1.807222,
          1.7654
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 1707,
        "typical_volume": 13808.85,
        "trend": 1.704243,
        "fair_value": 0.74539,
        "relative_strength": 17.954273,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.597756,
        "energy": 87.974103,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.928,
          1.857222,
          1.819972,
          1.781142
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 12548.65,
        "trend": 1.72143,
        "fair_value": 0.756611,
        "relative_strength": 14.791027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.615561,
        "energy": 87.334416,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.933333,
          1.881829,
          1.830981,
          1.795706
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}