{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5e83f2a-ff38-4889-a477-d3df27d1d226", "symbol": "EGGS", "name": "NESTYIELD TOTAL RETURN GUARD ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.185, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.53, "architecture_energy": 17.452, "architecture_maturity": 25.168, "architecture_confidence": 74.985, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.61, "rotation_up": 16.23, "upward_expansion": 36.17, "deceleration": 86.77, "rotation_down": 42.61, "downward_expansion": 39.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.743223, 37.780644, 38.137818, 37.435214 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.0193, "trend_reference": 36.520583, "distance_from_trend": 0.041038, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.615859, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09832, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.464069, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.12638, "excess_performance": 0.000755, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041038, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09832, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021953, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074641, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12638, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.147453, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74898, "relative_activity": 1.437058, "balance": 3.147453, "dry_up": 1.000484, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092061, "annualized_volatility": 0.273566, "from_high_reference": -0.132589, "from_low_reference": 0.176174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.520583, "fair_value_reference": 34.615859, "structural_low": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.816645, "energy": 46.173651, "activity_lines": [ 40.290411, 39.882659, 38.273419, 37.274747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 39.424648, "volume": 61365, "typical_volume": 45431.95, "trend": 36.431945, "fair_value": 34.534401, "relative_strength": -2.893767, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.205927, "energy": 38.188519, "activity_lines": [ 40.005231, 39.898534, 38.512698, 37.476487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.500518, "volume": 36662, "typical_volume": 46332.15, "trend": 36.423932, "fair_value": 34.546183, "relative_strength": -10.893892, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.072304, "energy": 15.400331, "activity_lines": [ 38.349204, 39.157036, 38.35548, 37.416395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.540718, "volume": 35765, "typical_volume": 47139.65, "trend": 36.408936, "fair_value": 34.558165, "relative_strength": -9.992211, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.124482, "energy": 17.877101, "activity_lines": [ 37.067647, 38.467499, 38.199506, 37.359413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.001, "volume": 61252, "typical_volume": 49435.1, "trend": 36.436444, "fair_value": 34.575342, "relative_strength": -9.532891, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.934087, "energy": 22.279701, "activity_lines": [ 36.436138, 37.91032, 38.077084, 37.333095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.0193, "volume": 74898, "typical_volume": 52119.0, "trend": 36.520583, "fair_value": 34.615859, "relative_strength": -7.464069, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.529854, "energy": 17.451647, "activity_lines": [ 36.743223, 37.780644, 38.137818, 37.435214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }