{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5e88c8c-800b-49a9-9f22-196464d6266b", "symbol": "001203", "name": "Dazhong Mining Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.744, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.918, "architecture_energy": 78.567, "architecture_maturity": 19.007, "architecture_confidence": 88.344, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.65, "rotation_up": 12.58, "upward_expansion": 19.21, "deceleration": 37.42, "rotation_down": 72.92, "downward_expansion": 94.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.033333, 28.730007, 33.608713, 35.327059 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.25, "trend_reference": 35.877142, "distance_from_trend": -0.212591, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.85011, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.782322, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.463604, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.009814, "excess_performance": -0.017214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212591, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030958, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.782322, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.565446, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.034636, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.776381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009814, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.137511, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87990006, "relative_activity": 0.728114, "balance": 0.137511, "dry_up": 0.813303, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.159366, "annualized_volatility": 0.827251, "from_high_reference": -0.47962, "from_low_reference": 1.531362 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.877142, "fair_value_reference": 15.85011, "structural_low": 23.860001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.007352, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.004328, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.162928, "worst_return": -0.061372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.020493, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031143, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.508762, "worst_return": -0.141947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -3.8e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.041556, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.775799, "worst_return": -0.033667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.309999, "volume": 125036664, "typical_volume": 128604184.35, "trend": 36.198475, "fair_value": 15.638602, "relative_strength": -5.050211, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.709058, "energy": 70.636669, "activity_lines": [ 27.756159, 30.76287, 35.662801, 36.486776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.93, "volume": 69512270, "typical_volume": 124066964.5, "trend": 35.957142, "fair_value": 15.735833, "relative_strength": -5.790019, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.760927, "energy": 83.206605, "activity_lines": [ 26.886666, 29.410215, 34.492971, 35.824294 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.25, "volume": 87990006, "typical_volume": 120846442.85, "trend": 35.877142, "fair_value": 15.85011, "relative_strength": -3.463604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.917506, "energy": 78.567042, "activity_lines": [ 27.033333, 28.730007, 33.608713, 35.327059 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }