{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5e95da6-17bf-4dd6-a33e-0f071fb6bdbd", "symbol": "CEFA", "name": "GLOBAL X S&P CATHOLIC VALUES DEVELOPED EX-U.S. ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.488, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.178, "architecture_energy": 59.733, "architecture_maturity": 15.512, "architecture_confidence": 79.501, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.9, "rotation_up": 63.19, "upward_expansion": 84.48, "deceleration": 47.94, "rotation_down": 15.75, "downward_expansion": 11.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.515533, 40.134531, 39.676304, 39.287849 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.6411, "trend_reference": 38.957142, "distance_from_trend": 0.068895, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.204811, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293009, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.254548, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.054218, "excess_performance": -0.133235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068895, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029053, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.293009, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03308, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032545, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064537, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054218, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.096816, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97186, "relative_activity": 2.672687, "balance": 4.096816, "dry_up": 1.130844, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032203, "annualized_volatility": 0.178485, "from_high_reference": -0.024078, "from_low_reference": 0.220467 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.957142, "fair_value_reference": 32.204811, "structural_low": 35.7463, 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"relative_strength": -2.95852, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.682294, "energy": 31.503168, "activity_lines": [ 39.663581, 39.603485, 39.255108, 38.998437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.4005, "volume": 43423, "typical_volume": 34739.55, "trend": 38.830106, "fair_value": 32.10576, "relative_strength": -1.435876, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.882997, "energy": 36.126972, "activity_lines": [ 39.924147, 39.76836, 39.415506, 39.106495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.6411, "volume": 97186, "typical_volume": 36362.65, "trend": 38.957142, "fair_value": 32.204811, "relative_strength": -3.254548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.17822, "energy": 59.733344, "activity_lines": [ 40.515533, 40.134531, 39.676304, 39.287849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }