{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5ecc0e2-7a62-4629-8a9e-70c03b91ebfa", "symbol": "ERIS", "name": "Eris Lifesciences Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.901, "architecture_energy": 14.89, "architecture_maturity": 31.036, "architecture_confidence": 73.395, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.59, "rotation_up": 23.34, "upward_expansion": 52.82, "deceleration": 86.68, "rotation_down": 33.67, "downward_expansion": 21.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 1393.000016, 1410.056368, 1400.330737, 1389.369447 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1382.400024, "trend_reference": 1383.072461, "distance_from_trend": -0.000486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1270.428068, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.088137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.909565, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.033962, "excess_performance": 0.009747, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035608, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.088137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049627, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059096, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020518, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.033962, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.415865, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 345493, "relative_activity": 0.723896, "balance": 0.415865, "dry_up": 1.072866, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054762, "annualized_volatility": 0.222067, "from_high_reference": -0.24044, "from_low_reference": 0.158182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1383.072461, "fair_value_reference": 1270.428068, "structural_low": 1193.594894, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.004765, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.015211, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.188152, "worst_return": -0.072588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.079555, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.047265, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.364523, "worst_return": -0.044462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.361299, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.247852, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.501488, "worst_return": 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"2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076976, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001378, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029025, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.138604, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011866, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 825.562927, "volume": 362782, "typical_volume": 739098.5, "trend": 656.305526, "fair_value": 655.97268, "relative_strength": 16.159933, "stage": 2, 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1416.061816, 1400.425372, 1389.684658 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1382.400024, "volume": 345493, "typical_volume": 477269.15, "trend": 1383.072461, "fair_value": 1270.428068, "relative_strength": -5.909565, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.901138, "energy": 14.890425, "activity_lines": [ 1393.000016, 1410.056368, 1400.330737, 1389.369447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }