{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5eee9f4-6a57-40f7-8e38-ae01198191be", "symbol": "5WA", "name": "OUE Healthcare Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.756, "architecture_energy": 35.889, "architecture_maturity": 61.991, "architecture_confidence": 91.929, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.08, "rotation_up": 39.11, "upward_expansion": 68.56, "deceleration": 93.94, "rotation_down": 29.03, "downward_expansion": 11.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.036867, 0.036836, 0.035181, 0.033151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.041, "trend_reference": 0.030733, "distance_from_trend": 0.334056, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.027622, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.484335, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.514151, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.576923, "excess_performance": 0.422088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.334056, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131288, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.484335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.411535, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.195142, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176268, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.576923, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.867303, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8768700, "relative_activity": 0.67319, "balance": 0.867303, "dry_up": 1.943784, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11257, "annualized_volatility": 0.614107, "from_high_reference": -0.145833, "from_low_reference": 0.782609 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.030733, "fair_value_reference": 0.027622, "structural_low": 0.024, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.009289, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.038462, "worst_return": -0.033333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.035897, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.065854, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.033333, "worst_return": -0.038462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.082051, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.040337, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.230769, "worst_return": -0.066667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.164835, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.1, "worst_return": -0.1, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.172414, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086957, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038462, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.327842, "energy": 50.36134, "activity_lines": [ 0.037133, 0.0368, 0.033562, 0.031634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.03, "volume": 48911700, "typical_volume": 10676675.0, "trend": 0.0297, "fair_value": 0.0275, "relative_strength": -8.82791, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.191222, "energy": 20.926823, "activity_lines": [ 0.034333, 0.035873, 0.033471, 0.031658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.033, "volume": 18095400, "typical_volume": 11347690.0, "trend": 0.0299, "fair_value": 0.027506, "relative_strength": -1.213585, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.888579, "energy": 26.816921, "activity_lines": [ 0.033333, 0.035473, 0.033643, 0.031871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.039, "volume": 25500000, "typical_volume": 12610575.0, "trend": 0.030267, "fair_value": 0.027551, "relative_strength": 15.576038, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.227896, "energy": 29.665435, "activity_lines": [ 0.0348, 0.036073, 0.034348, 0.032458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.041, "volume": 8768700, "typical_volume": 13025600.0, "trend": 0.030733, "fair_value": 0.027622, "relative_strength": 19.514151, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.756369, "energy": 35.889042, "activity_lines": [ 0.036867, 0.036836, 0.035181, 0.033151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }