{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a5f542f0-72e2-4be0-bfd4-2c8f72320b59", "symbol": "MGNI", "name": "Magnite Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.1, "architecture_energy": 70.527, "architecture_maturity": 42.175, "architecture_confidence": 80.914, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.05, "rotation_up": 71.51, "upward_expansion": 84.66, "deceleration": 65.77, "rotation_down": 16.83, "downward_expansion": 11.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.978, 20.030727, 17.793762, 16.435484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.72, "trend_reference": 15.052333, "distance_from_trend": 0.64227, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.182949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.742938, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.775646, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.189548, "excess_performance": 1.002095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.64227, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085988, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.742938, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.71961, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.287756, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.616002, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.189548, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.506328, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21086021, "relative_activity": 1.6346, "balance": 2.506328, "dry_up": 0.982459, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088499, "annualized_volatility": 0.57394, "from_high_reference": -0.07242, "from_low_reference": 1.284658 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.052333, "fair_value_reference": 14.182949, "structural_low": 10.82, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.020499, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.058923, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.215339, "worst_return": -0.465789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008994, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.059262, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.117504, "worst_return": -0.413818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.154586, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.232076, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.127555, "worst_return": -0.310696, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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18.511333, 16.767455, 15.126476, 14.565849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.34, "volume": 15486020, "typical_volume": 12855433.1, "trend": 14.504, "fair_value": 13.997115, "relative_strength": 2.026862, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.927654, "energy": 92.307489, "activity_lines": [ 19.429333, 17.626909, 15.718619, 14.951054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.0, "volume": 8478005, "typical_volume": 12303264.5, "trend": 14.590667, "fair_value": 14.02609, "relative_strength": 0.600229, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.657778, "energy": 86.83528, "activity_lines": [ 19.523333, 18.122364, 16.144524, 15.241118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.51, "volume": 12065994, "typical_volume": 12341218.7, "trend": 14.659333, "fair_value": 14.048141, "relative_strength": 0.638008, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.512226, "energy": 75.827154, "activity_lines": [ 19.270667, 18.440182, 16.498143, 15.493978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.3, "volume": 9064071, "typical_volume": 12398844.3, "trend": 14.767333, "fair_value": 14.076538, "relative_strength": 5.275381, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.55141, "energy": 58.245357, "activity_lines": [ 19.24, 18.798182, 16.905524, 15.793376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.72, "volume": 21086021, "typical_volume": 12899802.7, "trend": 15.052333, "fair_value": 14.182949, "relative_strength": 28.775646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.099878, "energy": 70.526539, "activity_lines": [ 20.978, 20.030727, 17.793762, 16.435484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }