{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a5fe908a-131c-48f8-9db7-e3b2fa2beadb",
    "symbol": "PJUN",
    "name": "Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - June",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 62.462,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.57,
    "architecture_energy": 38.71,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.587,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.877,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.8,
        "rotation_up": 55.12,
        "upward_expansion": 77.18,
        "deceleration": 56.17,
        "rotation_down": 18.59,
        "downward_expansion": 3.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 44.08,
    "trend_reference": 42.69922,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.032337,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.81959,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165534,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.678357,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.044797,
    "excess_performance": -0.080828,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032337,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012815,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165534,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008625,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066784,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001064,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044797,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.363722,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 184289,
      "relative_activity": 0.31427,
      "balance": 1.363722,
      "dry_up": 0.30823,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018573,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.057995,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073171,
      "from_low_reference": 0.10921
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.69922,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.81959,
      "structural_low": 39.74,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": 0.006155,
        "positive_rate": 0.723404,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.723404,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008359,
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        "worst_return": -0.03214,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.022101,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.05299,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 572429.45,
        "trend": 42.54942,
        "fair_value": 37.595623,
        "relative_strength": -5.524248,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 49.142965,
        "energy": 27.883764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 191022,
        "typical_volume": 578164.55,
        "trend": 42.585717,
        "fair_value": 37.665937,
        "relative_strength": -5.066678,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 48.026732,
        "energy": 27.311353,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.38,
        "volume": 110002,
        "typical_volume": 581282.55,
        "trend": 42.634383,
        "fair_value": 37.740488,
        "relative_strength": -5.144316,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.164027,
        "energy": 29.078159,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.08,
        "volume": 184289,
        "typical_volume": 586403.2,
        "trend": 42.69922,
        "fair_value": 37.81959,
        "relative_strength": -6.678357,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.569764,
        "energy": 38.709571,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}