{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a603f4a9-2e7f-4932-98aa-59443ff8bd76", "symbol": "CWE", "name": "Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF EUR Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.752, "architecture_energy": 87.316, "architecture_maturity": 68.257, "architecture_confidence": 80.779, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.06, "rotation_up": 79.7, "upward_expansion": 97.53, "deceleration": 41.87, "rotation_down": 9.0, "downward_expansion": 21.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 505.316665, 494.624545, 481.980475, 471.102149 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 498.799988, "trend_reference": 452.135, "distance_from_trend": 0.10321, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 374.186538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.333025, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.551643, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.239255, "excess_performance": 0.185943, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10321, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10117, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.333025, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071708, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.135516, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085565, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.239255, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.599628, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1332, "relative_activity": 1.112457, "balance": 0.599628, "dry_up": 1.383681, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02917, "annualized_volatility": 0.193844, "from_high_reference": -0.050267, "from_low_reference": 0.501505 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 452.135, "fair_value_reference": 374.186538, "structural_low": 401.649994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.019334, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.004364, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.155392, "worst_return": -0.139847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.07461, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.024278, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.295008, "worst_return": -0.05725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.199166, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.103775, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.251577, "worst_return": -0.073315, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 512.200012, "volume": 683, "typical_volume": 1070.65, "trend": 443.17, "fair_value": 372.727564, "relative_strength": 22.794627, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.955706, "energy": 92.280388, "activity_lines": [ 499.783339, 486.310003, 475.354762, 463.615699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 508.399994, "volume": 3865, "typical_volume": 1170.65, "trend": 447.99, "fair_value": 373.492948, "relative_strength": 19.160485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.144407, "energy": 89.190239, "activity_lines": [ 505.690002, 491.709093, 479.274285, 467.824086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 498.799988, "volume": 1332, "typical_volume": 1197.35, "trend": 452.135, "fair_value": 374.186538, "relative_strength": 13.551643, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.752117, "energy": 87.316322, "activity_lines": [ 505.316665, 494.624545, 481.980475, 471.102149 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }