{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a60c3c5e-e1ab-4542-b779-a1adce23e3c0", "symbol": "603327", "name": "Sichuan Furong Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.183, "architecture_energy": 37.828, "architecture_maturity": 21.407, "architecture_confidence": 88.53, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.25, "rotation_up": 16.77, "upward_expansion": 4.28, "deceleration": 52.47, "rotation_down": 56.2, "downward_expansion": 77.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.822, 9.000092, 9.504352, 9.670601 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.99, "trend_reference": 9.955886, "distance_from_trend": -0.097017, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.490636, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05275, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.525174, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.121212, "excess_performance": -0.078008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.097017, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05275, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236103, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095252, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118092, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.121212, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843446, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 176658960, "relative_activity": 1.297404, "balance": 0.843446, "dry_up": 1.5438, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120344, "annualized_volatility": 0.436779, "from_high_reference": -0.39826, "from_low_reference": 0.208333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.955886, "fair_value_reference": 9.490636, "structural_low": 7.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.080184, "positive_rate": 0.823529, "directional_follow_through": 0.176471, "median_excess_return": 0.073692, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.758545, "worst_return": -0.054367, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.148164, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.096338, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.683572, "worst_return": -0.05643, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.190683, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.1164, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.757881, "worst_return": 0.062309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.534291, "energy": 71.579996, "activity_lines": [ 8.637333, 9.171973, 9.643748, 9.803382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.05, "volume": 268587521, "typical_volume": 130254477.9, "trend": 10.018219, "fair_value": 9.484454, "relative_strength": -6.635353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.986411, "energy": 62.656713, "activity_lines": [ 8.716667, 9.076187, 9.574955, 9.736938 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.99, "volume": 176658960, "typical_volume": 136163441.25, "trend": 9.955886, "fair_value": 9.490636, "relative_strength": -9.525174, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.183375, "energy": 37.828313, "activity_lines": [ 8.822, 9.000092, 9.504352, 9.670601 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }