{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a60d711f-6622-4303-8068-4340ddce4e2d",
    "symbol": "AVEM",
    "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS EMERGING MKTS EQUITY ETF USD",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.611,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 11.68,
    "architecture_energy": 15.018,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.019,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.251,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.16,
        "rotation_up": 20.36,
        "upward_expansion": 47.12,
        "deceleration": 84.52,
        "rotation_down": 39.47,
        "downward_expansion": 29.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        92.191133,
        90.468928
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 92.27,
    "trend_reference": 88.20901,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046038,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.224041,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.414662,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.328639,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.095868,
    "excess_performance": -0.029756,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046038,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067702,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.414662,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128562,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003286,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120178,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095868,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.893097,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8171663,
      "relative_activity": 0.872173,
      "balance": 1.893097,
      "dry_up": 1.02659,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056927,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.274185,
      "from_high_reference": -0.084895,
      "from_low_reference": 0.342111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 88.20901,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.224041,
      "structural_low": 76.959284,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011993,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.142366,
        "worst_return": -0.007245,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.031679,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002363,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.008249,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000798,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.037102,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.115198,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030903,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037326,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "start": "2025-05-02",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 89.29,
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        "typical_volume": 9537366.3,
        "trend": 87.411145,
        "fair_value": 64.704418,
        "relative_strength": 1.938098,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 18.83927,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 89.51,
        "volume": 11815353,
        "typical_volume": 9510019.45,
        "trend": 87.782293,
        "fair_value": 64.951905,
        "relative_strength": 0.904906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.424216,
        "energy": 16.465802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 92.27,
        "volume": 8171663,
        "typical_volume": 9369310.3,
        "trend": 88.20901,
        "fair_value": 65.224041,
        "relative_strength": 0.328639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.680483,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}