{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a615d909-30bc-4f43-9a68-416189426991", "symbol": "600346", "name": "Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.734, "architecture_energy": 44.224, "architecture_maturity": 42.867, "architecture_confidence": 91.1, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.32, "rotation_up": 25.86, "upward_expansion": 6.58, "deceleration": 54.75, "rotation_down": 46.44, "downward_expansion": 77.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.672666, 16.783272, 17.796602, 18.998471 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.889999, "trend_reference": 20.626214, "distance_from_trend": -0.132657, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.458368, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157302, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.867015, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.303181, "excess_performance": -0.259977, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132657, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035571, "read": "Falling" 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14.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.002228, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003563, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.126851, "worst_return": -0.119298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.028378, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.029523, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.266341, "worst_return": -0.158506, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.065203, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.014202, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.667863, "worst_return": -0.134717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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15.394171, "relative_strength": -17.710188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.778855, "energy": 58.060783, "activity_lines": [ 16.389333, 16.906516, 18.541279, 19.780574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.95, "volume": 267001410, "typical_volume": 187567236.9, "trend": 20.908707, "fair_value": 15.411343, "relative_strength": -14.093059, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.774136, "energy": 61.707329, "activity_lines": [ 16.093333, 16.633928, 18.169154, 19.454427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.719999, "volume": 159451025, "typical_volume": 176798060.8, "trend": 20.768618, "fair_value": 15.430402, "relative_strength": -10.402818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.822818, "energy": 65.324801, "activity_lines": [ 16.130666, 16.588533, 17.913199, 19.184188 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.889999, "volume": 184330132, "typical_volume": 173610378.15, "trend": 20.626214, "fair_value": 15.458368, "relative_strength": -6.867015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.734119, "energy": 44.224162, "activity_lines": [ 16.672666, 16.783272, 17.796602, 18.998471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }