{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a61e6c42-15bd-48ac-af86-1bc98c77d60b",
    "symbol": "AASI",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI Em Asia UCITS ETF-C EUR",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.938,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.075,
    "architecture_energy": 25.19,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.606,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.516,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.5,
        "rotation_up": 17.89,
        "upward_expansion": 52.37,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 36.81,
        "downward_expansion": 18.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.933999,
        57.109494,
        56.940411,
        55.359049
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 56.349998,
    "trend_reference": 53.28197,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057581,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.373523,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.395717,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.874848,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.156792,
    "excess_performance": 0.103481,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057581,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086468,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.395717,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098512,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068748,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191717,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156792,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.781044,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 110162,
      "relative_activity": 0.97494,
      "balance": 0.781044,
      "dry_up": 1.24438,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050288,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.254615,
      "from_high_reference": -0.093614,
      "from_low_reference": 0.394837
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.28197,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.373523,
      "structural_low": 45.465,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.014453,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007459,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.15715,
        "worst_return": -0.037675,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.064502,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.084399,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.276666,
        "worst_return": -0.013451,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.066728,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03278,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.394269,
        "worst_return": -0.015372,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.07683,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0044,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135799,
        "worst_return": 0.017861,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043601,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.052929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.106267,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.059171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.112713,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044203,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.102541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04499,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.132095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.034701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011125,
        "active": true
      }
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 184217.35,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 130447.8,
        "trend": 51.97389,
        "fair_value": 39.776695,
        "relative_strength": 18.631572,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.820753,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.98,
        "volume": 217926,
        "typical_volume": 125969.45,
        "trend": 52.32645,
        "fair_value": 39.925113,
        "relative_strength": 10.36741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.229062,
        "energy": 35.98168,
        "activity_lines": [
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          54.753427
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.73,
        "volume": 103003,
        "typical_volume": 117000.9,
        "trend": 52.694553,
        "fair_value": 40.06848,
        "relative_strength": 10.891614,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.819954,
        "energy": 24.147612,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.909334,
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          56.751505,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.32,
        "volume": 131337,
        "typical_volume": 113862.1,
        "trend": 52.991857,
        "fair_value": 40.214601,
        "relative_strength": 7.881451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.847337,
        "energy": 25.033615,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.117334,
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          56.813217,
          55.142395
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.349998,
        "volume": 110162,
        "typical_volume": 112993.65,
        "trend": 53.28197,
        "fair_value": 40.373523,
        "relative_strength": 6.874848,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.074889,
        "energy": 25.189726,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}