{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6219535-ea2f-4fc5-861f-203d4a62ab55", "symbol": "JAZZ", "name": "Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.823, "architecture_energy": 72.599, "architecture_maturity": 64.772, "architecture_confidence": 92.761, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.08, "rotation_up": 71.25, "upward_expansion": 92.7, "deceleration": 45.52, "rotation_down": 19.3, "downward_expansion": 14.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 252.982, 246.891455, 237.543238, 225.383742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 256.56, "trend_reference": 208.570333, "distance_from_trend": 0.230089, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 139.593974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.837902, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.952234, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.550211, "excess_performance": 0.362758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.230089, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.837902, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104708, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.249522, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018154, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.550211, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.379832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5879159, "relative_activity": 1.366442, "balance": 2.379832, "dry_up": 0.913669, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053127, "annualized_volatility": 0.258189, "from_high_reference": -0.032013, "from_low_reference": 1.326864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 208.570333, "fair_value_reference": 139.593974, "structural_low": 161.38, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.008369, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.001438, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.282549, "worst_return": -0.259297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.016641, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.038912, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.302327, "worst_return": -0.260992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.104151, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.157587, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.340336, "worst_return": -0.269362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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215.369828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 253.87, "volume": 3073261, "typical_volume": 4220854.5, "trend": 202.732333, "fair_value": 138.055962, "relative_strength": 33.534502, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.832957, "energy": 73.804127, "activity_lines": [ 247.192667, 241.372727, 230.990905, 218.848366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 252.86, "volume": 3641632, "typical_volume": 4196144.4, "trend": 205.389333, "fair_value": 138.842628, "relative_strength": 30.843701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.24152, "energy": 69.864484, "activity_lines": [ 250.232, 243.914182, 234.26781, 222.082409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 256.56, "volume": 5879159, "typical_volume": 4302531.25, "trend": 208.570333, "fair_value": 139.593974, "relative_strength": 24.952234, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.823401, "energy": 72.598931, "activity_lines": [ 252.982, 246.891455, 237.543238, 225.383742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }