{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a622687e-ec18-4cc0-88dd-9821b08b2e8d", "symbol": "RDY", "name": "Dr. Reddy\u2019s Laboratories Ltd ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.321, "architecture_energy": 73.588, "architecture_maturity": 11.59, "architecture_confidence": 81.16, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.28, "rotation_up": 10.97, "upward_expansion": 18.98, "deceleration": 34.24, "rotation_down": 73.98, "downward_expansion": 89.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.132687, 12.749949, 13.109151, 13.299605 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.22, "trend_reference": 13.500882, "distance_from_trend": -0.094874, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.1452, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136103, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.149564, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.132102, "excess_performance": -0.257727, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094874, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02035, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.136103, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077365, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211496, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0402, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.132102, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.022831, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13910925, "relative_activity": 1.094691, "balance": 1.022831, "dry_up": 1.120352, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076038, "annualized_volatility": 0.300859, "from_high_reference": -0.214649, "from_low_reference": 0.083315 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.500882, "fair_value_reference": 14.1452, "structural_low": 11.280195, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.007313, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.014564, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.142941, "worst_return": -0.125065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.006036, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000161, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.110868, "worst_return": -0.108003, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.010484, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.020414, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.149486, "worst_return": -0.121005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-17.612517, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.783986, "energy": 25.05093, "activity_lines": [ 13.434954, 13.535756, 13.544719, 13.620485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.79, "volume": 18367574, "typical_volume": 12507274.05, "trend": 13.607215, "fair_value": 14.16912, "relative_strength": -21.363171, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.682649, "energy": 61.956405, "activity_lines": [ 12.807858, 13.211457, 13.37207, 13.498149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.85, "volume": 15212281, "typical_volume": 12661790.35, "trend": 13.540215, "fair_value": 14.157469, "relative_strength": -21.312339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.514995, "energy": 74.41822, "activity_lines": [ 12.294541, 12.931158, 13.217563, 13.38478 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.22, "volume": 13910925, "typical_volume": 12707625.85, "trend": 13.500882, "fair_value": 14.1452, "relative_strength": -21.149564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.321265, "energy": 73.587565, "activity_lines": [ 12.132687, 12.749949, 13.109151, 13.299605 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }