{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6240983-6659-4948-88cd-d756f59b7fdc", "symbol": "CPOP", "name": "Pop Culture Group Co Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.416, "architecture_energy": 34.459, "architecture_maturity": 88.856, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.6, "rotation_up": 19.19, "upward_expansion": 3.52, "deceleration": 49.61, "rotation_down": 57.44, "downward_expansion": 81.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.39326, 0.629053, 1.418266, 1.916043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.38, "trend_reference": 2.586, "distance_from_trend": -0.853055, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.404686, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.96668, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -93.412307, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.897297, "excess_performance": -1.084751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.853055, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.329841, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.96668, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164547, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.934123, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.333315, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.897297, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.109239, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 155974433, "relative_activity": 1.930087, "balance": 0.109239, "dry_up": 0.563035, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 6.218036, "annualized_volatility": 1.257113, "from_high_reference": -0.985441, "from_low_reference": 0.310345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.586, "fair_value_reference": 11.404686, "structural_low": 0.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.071746, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": -0.106282, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 1.548077, "worst_return": -0.684013, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.163956, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.1804, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.159345, "worst_return": -0.73063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.321281, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.503037, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.277761, "worst_return": -0.743109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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2.178805, 2.572985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.3971, "volume": 19733687, "typical_volume": 72740175.15, "trend": 2.995803, "fair_value": 12.176084, "relative_strength": -93.620982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.636206, "energy": 51.045716, "activity_lines": [ 0.660833, 1.221127, 1.969381, 2.396288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.3849, "volume": 3658137, "typical_volume": 72891885.95, "trend": 2.857833, "fair_value": 11.915795, "relative_strength": -93.527368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.152464, "energy": 46.11879, "activity_lines": [ 0.524727, 0.980144, 1.772457, 2.227843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.367, "volume": 2633878, "typical_volume": 73018743.4, "trend": 2.722067, "fair_value": 11.658532, "relative_strength": -93.538084, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.897248, "energy": 40.221503, "activity_lines": [ 0.43826, 0.785925, 1.588185, 2.067144 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.38, "volume": 155974433, "typical_volume": 80812121.15, "trend": 2.586, "fair_value": 11.404686, "relative_strength": -93.412307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.415538, "energy": 34.458507, "activity_lines": [ 0.39326, 0.629053, 1.418266, 1.916043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }