{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a624f54c-fa4c-4e1a-873b-c8689e92e07b", "symbol": "8277", "name": "Unifosa Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.068, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.547, "architecture_energy": 25.038, "architecture_maturity": 14.937, "architecture_confidence": 71.046, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.36, "rotation_up": 9.29, "upward_expansion": 7.62, "deceleration": 55.72, "rotation_down": 57.66, "downward_expansion": 68.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.093333, 8.381091, 8.488476, 8.440796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.11, "trend_reference": 8.559, "distance_from_trend": -0.052459, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.546859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.297644, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -43.303625, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.131692, "excess_performance": -0.573064, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052459, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056963, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.297644, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144416, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.433036, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137641, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.131692, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.406148, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 435133, "relative_activity": 0.249567, "balance": 2.406148, "dry_up": 0.349267, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164185, "annualized_volatility": 0.6268, "from_high_reference": -0.512913, "from_low_reference": 0.27918 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.559, "fair_value_reference": 11.546859, "structural_low": 6.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.008333, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": -0.038239, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.203187, "worst_return": -0.154341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.130208, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.064925, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.053279, "worst_return": -0.282958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.189711, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.134401, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145833, "worst_return": -0.354483, "sufficient": true 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"regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.121212, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.051724, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.110687, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054622, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.294737, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004598, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.202778, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.251142, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.004908, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 11.6, "volume": 1472000, "typical_volume": 3846700.0, "trend": 10.575667, "fair_value": 10.676859, "relative_strength": 9.051963, "stage": 2, "regime": 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"typical_volume": 2081597.15, "trend": 8.707667, "fair_value": 11.653846, "relative_strength": -42.233038, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.847031, "energy": 10.453915, "activity_lines": [ 8.711333, 9.037818, 8.577333, 8.585677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.15, "volume": 761336, "typical_volume": 2048900.9, "trend": 8.672667, "fair_value": 11.630449, "relative_strength": -42.717466, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.480465, "energy": 16.453762, "activity_lines": [ 8.418667, 8.912727, 8.556667, 8.549699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.0, "volume": 686345, "typical_volume": 1886661.05, "trend": 8.633667, "fair_value": 11.605128, "relative_strength": -42.286158, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.691592, "energy": 20.484917, "activity_lines": [ 8.169333, 8.731818, 8.525762, 8.506301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.1, "volume": 553049, "typical_volume": 1801964.1, "trend": 8.591667, "fair_value": 11.573397, "relative_strength": -42.194332, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.4037, "energy": 23.741886, "activity_lines": [ 8.096667, 8.550909, 8.50581, 8.471871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.11, "volume": 435133, "typical_volume": 1743552.3, "trend": 8.559, "fair_value": 11.546859, "relative_strength": -43.303625, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.546829, "energy": 25.037647, "activity_lines": [ 8.093333, 8.381091, 8.488476, 8.440796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }