{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a625414b-3a82-4bbc-881a-33cc5e1ea14a", "symbol": "ISO", "name": "IsoEnergy Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.205, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.914, "architecture_energy": 50.706, "architecture_maturity": 4.887, "architecture_confidence": 86.865, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.91, "rotation_up": 11.69, "upward_expansion": 10.29, "deceleration": 38.77, "rotation_down": 64.28, "downward_expansion": 85.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.750667, 14.126, 14.636809, 14.725226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.68, "trend_reference": 14.844667, "distance_from_trend": -0.011093, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.552105, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169525, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.286944, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071533, "excess_performance": -0.048888, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011093, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047341, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169525, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184901, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052869, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.237017, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071533, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1158500, "relative_activity": 1.566588, "balance": 0.780477, "dry_up": 1.359321, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132467, "annualized_volatility": 0.612465, "from_high_reference": -0.204336, "from_low_reference": 0.538784 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.844667, "fair_value_reference": 12.552105, "structural_low": 12.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.249795, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.007256, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.034804, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135817, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.114514, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.126631, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 15.48, "volume": 194475, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 15.32, "volume": 122825, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 17.879999, "volume": 429825, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 14.92, "volume": 629900, "typical_volume": 935575.0, "trend": 14.81, "fair_value": 12.517909, "relative_strength": -0.27713, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.403577, "energy": 6.418965, "activity_lines": [ 15.066, 15.110727, 15.183857, 15.076559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.96, "volume": 631400, "typical_volume": 929290.0, "trend": 14.856, "fair_value": 12.521892, "relative_strength": -13.317272, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.151662, "energy": 26.502618, "activity_lines": [ 14.348, 14.689636, 14.98219, 14.957204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.3, "volume": 540800, "typical_volume": 892580.0, "trend": 14.887333, "fair_value": 12.528839, "relative_strength": -11.333944, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.184726, "energy": 50.051524, "activity_lines": [ 13.834667, 14.397273, 14.827809, 14.856817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.03, "volume": 1690200, "typical_volume": 929475.0, "trend": 14.862333, "fair_value": 12.533274, "relative_strength": -12.974769, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.405153, "energy": 57.984626, "activity_lines": [ 13.472667, 14.095273, 14.650143, 14.736989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.68, "volume": 1158500, "typical_volume": 739505.0, "trend": 14.844667, "fair_value": 12.552105, "relative_strength": -5.286944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.914016, "energy": 50.706188, "activity_lines": [ 13.750667, 14.126, 14.636809, 14.725226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }