{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a626f513-118c-4195-b9ef-a386bb62f4db", "symbol": "002755", "name": "Beijing Aosaikang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.194, "architecture_energy": 42.884, "architecture_maturity": 24.969, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.54, "rotation_up": 18.52, "upward_expansion": 6.39, "deceleration": 45.72, "rotation_down": 52.48, "downward_expansion": 77.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.342667, 13.450545, 14.095245, 14.507622 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.87, "trend_reference": 15.193575, "distance_from_trend": -0.087114, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.024038, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010984, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.59928, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.164458, "excess_performance": -0.171858, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087114, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083497, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010984, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.235993, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012791, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.164458, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.208317, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47370324, "relative_activity": 0.675531, "balance": 0.208317, "dry_up": 0.93889, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107986, "annualized_volatility": 0.480563, "from_high_reference": -0.516556, "from_low_reference": 0.114056 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.193575, "fair_value_reference": 14.024038, "structural_low": 12.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.020292, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.006135, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.132356, "worst_return": -0.134701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.045387, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.015046, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.33134, "worst_return": -0.187784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.051546, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.014928, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.362301, "worst_return": -0.243341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.518306, "energy": 34.387719, "activity_lines": [ 14.033063, 14.067482, 14.745717, 15.105964 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.1, "volume": 94713559, "typical_volume": 67364032.3, "trend": 15.524909, "fair_value": 13.927518, "relative_strength": -29.421337, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.899187, "energy": 30.621735, "activity_lines": [ 13.85, 13.791955, 14.564159, 14.941389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.56, "volume": 72170717, "typical_volume": 68806942.8, "trend": 15.392909, "fair_value": 13.954592, "relative_strength": -31.244936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.8188, "energy": 33.74627, "activity_lines": [ 13.482, 13.499388, 14.341886, 14.750105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.04, "volume": 49096823, "typical_volume": 69703176.5, "trend": 15.275575, "fair_value": 13.986719, "relative_strength": -26.107431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.278838, "energy": 38.824735, "activity_lines": [ 13.292, 13.368122, 14.175185, 14.598304 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.87, "volume": 47370324, "typical_volume": 70123074.25, "trend": 15.193575, "fair_value": 14.024038, "relative_strength": -23.59928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.194309, "energy": 42.883782, "activity_lines": [ 13.342667, 13.450545, 14.095245, 14.507622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }