{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a63c5263-abe9-4086-91c2-46e8f1fc098d", "symbol": "300475", "name": "Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 69.068, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.047, "architecture_energy": 31.68, "architecture_maturity": 67.19, "architecture_confidence": 53.875, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.81, "rotation_up": 17.36, "upward_expansion": 26.83, "deceleration": 73.33, "rotation_down": 67.95, "downward_expansion": 37.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 165.365287, 197.658625, 197.097258, 187.612911 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 158.690002, "trend_reference": 176.788498, "distance_from_trend": -0.102374, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.079904, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.264415, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.629495, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.058555, "excess_performance": -0.065955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102374, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137611, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.264415, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.004163, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076295, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.432848, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.058555, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.851268, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164098877, "relative_activity": 1.037771, "balance": 0.851268, "dry_up": 1.219945, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.266553, "annualized_volatility": 1.012148, "from_high_reference": -0.500601, "from_low_reference": 3.792672 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 176.788498, "fair_value_reference": 70.079904, "structural_low": 121.949997, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.005485, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.023807, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.345796, "worst_return": -0.166598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.173764, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.133972, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.090082, "worst_return": -0.287077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.37463, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.441699, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 2.550633, "worst_return": -0.115412, "sufficient": 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] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.690002, "volume": 164098877, "typical_volume": 158126333.9, "trend": 176.788498, "fair_value": 70.079904, "relative_strength": 7.629495, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.047412, "energy": 31.679992, "activity_lines": [ 165.365287, 197.658625, 197.097258, 187.612911 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }